A ‘Draw’ in the ’Flationary War

If you were describing the day’s action in terms of our “war” between inflation and deflation...you’d have to say it was a draw. Deflation has been gaining territory – following its massive counterattack, launched a couple weeks ago. But yesterday, the front stabilized. Stocks were up, not down. And consumer price inflation was back in the headlines.

On the other hand, gold’s big drop was clearly a victory for deflation, not inflation. And we got an item from the Wall Street Journal that reminded us that the U.S. economy is still just beginning a deflationary pullback:

“Record Store Closings.”

We were too busy to read the accompanying article. For a second, we thought we might have misread the headline. Maybe it meant that ‘record stores’ were closing. Then we remembered; there aren’t any stores that sell records any more. So, we must have read it right the first time – retail is in trouble.

There is probably nothing surer, dear reader. After a spending spree that saw Americans spend ALL there money...and then some, they are not now going to spend MORE. It’s not possible. Instead, they are going to spend less. And that means the retailers are going to sell less. And it means that they are going to need fewer clerks...and less space.

This is not the time to be holding retailers...or shopping malls – especially those that are far out in the boonies.

Bill Bonner
The Daily Reckoning Australia

P.S. to get The Daily Reckoning direct to your inbox sign up to our free e-mail newsletter or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily Reckoning RSS feed.

Related Articles:

About the Author

Bill BonnerBest-selling investment author Bill Bonner is the founder and president of Agora Publishing, one of the world's most successful consumer newsletter companies. Owner of both Fleet Street Publications and MoneyWeek magazine in the UK, he is also author of the free daily e-mail The Daily Reckoning.

See All Posts by This Author

Post a Response

NOTE: By posting a comment to the Daily Reckoning Australia you agree
that you have read, understand and will abide by our Comment Policy.


© Copyright Australian Financial News | The Daily Reckoning Australia & Port Phillip Publishing Pty LTD 2008 All rights reserved.

Port Phillip Publishing Pty Ltd holds an Australian Financial Services License: 323 988. View our Financial Services Guide.

ACN: 117 765 009 ABN: 33 117 765 009

Port Phillip Publishing
Attn: Daily Reckoning Australia
PO Box 899
Braeside
VIC 3195

Tel: 1300 667 481
Fax: (03) 9558 2219