Australian Credit Card Debt Grew by 9% in February

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Today’s Australian has a headline that reads, “Credit card debt slows to 13-year low.” That would lead you to believe that something good has happened in the economy. But has it?

A look at the actual numbers from the Reserve Bank yesterday tells a slightly different story. Total Australian credit card debt actually grew at 9% in February, from $39.5 billion to $43.25 billion. Interest-bearing debt grew by 9% to $31 billion. Even worse, the average interest rate Australians pay on credit card debt leapt from 17.6% to 19.4%.

Thanks to the rise in rates, credit card interest rates are 20% higher than this time last year. And it means, with current balances, Aussies are paying about $500 million in interest on stuff they already bought. Is it too late to buy into the Visa IPO?

What is so annoying about the credit card headline?

Well, it suggests that Australian credit card debt has actually declined. It hasn’t. It’s just growing less fast. This is like those ridiculous announcements that periodically emanate from the bowels of the U.S. Government about the size of the Federal deficit.

In the months that the deficit grows less fast than the month before, you see headlines like, “Deficit shrinks.” Of course it’s deliberate deception (a lie, if you like). If a tumor grows less fast it doesn’t mean it’s less dangerous. It’s still cancer (nearly all debt is malignant). And growing less fast isn’t really a qualitative improvement.

The goods news for Glenn Stevens is that high interest repayments on credit cards will eat into domestic consumption. The bad news is that the higher rates actually led to lower repayments according to the latest RBA figures. Repayments in February fell by 7.9% from $18.21 billion to $16.71 billion. That was for the month, by the way.

One chart came to mind in light of yesterday’s credit card news. It’s the climb in household interest repayments as a percentage of disposable income.

Not surprisingly, it’s on the rise. Granted, the combined number includes many older homeowners who are willing to carry higher debt loads later in life. But the simple truth is that paying interest on debt is not a good way to accumulate wealth. Never has been. Never will be. Simply not possible to get rich by spending the bank’s money.

Let’s put it this way: unless wages rise (something that would probably cause the Reserve Bank to put up rates again), Australians on the margin of the boom will have to use their credit cards to finance essential consumption, and they will pay dearly to do so. Either that, or they will have to reduce consumption. “If we do not discipline ourselves,” the old saying goes, “life will do it for us.”

Dan Denning
The Daily Reckoning Australia

Dan Denning
Dan Denning examines the geopolitical and economic events that can affect your investments domestically. He raises the questions you need to answer, in order to survive financially in these turbulent times.
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Comments

  1. It`s to late Dan the roller coaster has left the station, people can not feel it moving as it is slowly moving up to the top of the first run, those of us that didn`t get on will soon hear the screams as people go down with their over-extended debts.IT will be bad for many but opportunity for others!

    Diggin it!
    April 18, 2008
    Reply
  2. I like to know which broker in Australia is able to buy/sell USA over the counter stocks/penny Stocks.

    Your help woulkd be much appreciated.

    Thanks,

    Carolyn

    Reply
  3. AAAAAAARRRRGGGHHHH! i want to get off now!
    the share market doesnt like me anymore… tissue please?

    justin tyme
    July 3, 2008
    Reply
  4. Its a double edged sword. Consumers need to curb their spending and reign in debt. Businesses need people to keep on spending; if people don’t spend, businesses lay off people. So then people can’t spend, but also cannot reign in debt, because they don’t have a job and an income. My synopsis – your credit card is your dearest friend and your worst enemy. (Yes, I do have my cake and eat it too).

    Reply
  5. The Board of Directors of ICICI Bank Limited (NYSE: IBN) has at its Meeting held in Mumbai today granted its in-principle approval for the amalgamation of The Bank of Rajasthan Limited (Bank of Rajasthan) with ICICI Bank, subject to due diligence and valuation by an independent valuer jointly appointed by both banks. The Board will consider the due diligence report and valuation report at a subsequent meeting. The proposal if approved by the Boards of both ICICI Bank and Bank of Rajasthan would then be placed before the shareholders of both banks for approval and would be submitted to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for its consideration.
    Expert Savings Advice

    Reply

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