Australasia

Commentary on Australian and Asian economics, politics and society by your Daily Reckoning editors in Melbourne, Australia. Still haven’t subscribed to the Daily Reckoning? What are you waiting for… sign up here, it’s free!

 

A chronological listing of articles is below.

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The Dark Underbelly of Australia’s Resource Boom: Chinese Resource Demand

But when it came to resources, most analysts made an exception for the resource sector. The argument was that while everything else was floating on a sea of credit, there was a bedrock of Chinese and Indian demand for commodities which underpinned the Aussie resource market and resource share prices.

October 23rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
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What’s Wrong With the Stimulus Packages

The Australian Senate has been running an inquiry into the stimulus package for which I provided a written submission and afterwards spoke to the Senate Economic References Committee which has been conducting this inquiry.

October 20th, 2009 | Dr. Steven Kates | 11 comments | Continued
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Don’t Buy the A-REITs

“Australia stands out like a beacon because the yields here are much greater than other parts of the world,” says AMP Capital Brookfield chief investment officer Kim Redding. He tells Bloomberg that, “If you like the Aussie dollar and you like yield, Australian LPTs would be a pretty good place to be.”

October 20th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
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Stocks Better than Bonds When Inflation is a Big Threat

What we make of it is that dividends used to account for a much larger percentage of your total return in stocks than they have in the last twenty years. Times change. There’s no rule that says the future has to be just like the past. But if stocks beat inflation, should you invest in stocks for income or capital appreciation? That’s the second question.

October 19th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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Reader Mail Plus the Race for Arable Farm Land

Maybe we’re wrong. Maybe we’re right. But we’re certainly not in doubt: there is a race for scarce tangible resources (especially arable land) and we’re willing to bet a few Aussie companies can profit from that in the long term.

October 13th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
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A Flawed Theory on How to Manage an Economy During a Recession

Your editor spent last night in a discussion with a querulous and drunk Aussie over the stimulus. “It looks like it worked to me,” he said. “Only world economy still growing. GDP up. We’ve got China. Looks like Ruddy and Swanny know what they’re doing. You’re just a hack. You’ve never run a country. And you’re a Yank!”

October 13th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 100 comments | Continued
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Why I Would Have Raised the Interest Rates

Am I privy to the discussions of the RBA Board? No again. But I do know this. I do know why I would have raised rates, and would keep on raising them until the Government gets the message.

October 9th, 2009 | Dr. Steven Kates | 16 comments | Continued
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AUD Price of Gold a Measure of Gold’s Strength Against Other Currencies

Ah. So for gold to move in Aussie dollar terms there has to be more than just a big bear market in the USD. Demand for gold has to rise globally.

October 9th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
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Big Difference Between Stark News in Job Market and Behaviour of Stock Market

There have been jobless recoveries from recession before. But you still have to wonder how there can be such a big difference between the stark news in the job market and the behaviour of the stock market. True, economists will tell you that jobs are the last thing to recover from a recession. Businesses don’t hire until they are sure everything is in the clear.

October 5th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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The Dead Weight Cost of the Stimulus

On 21 September I provided testimony to the Senate Economics References Committee on the damage done by the government’s “stimulus” package. The submission was broken into five separate sections.

October 2nd, 2009 | Dr. Steven Kates | 35 comments | Continued
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