Discordian Religious Advice for the Investor

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We never liked history as a child. It’s just a bunch of stuff that’s already happened. But when you’re young, you don’t realise there’s a lot of history yet to come. And it helps to be informed about what’s been if you want to know what’s going to be.

One of the things you’ll notice if you take a look at history is that the Law of Eristic Escalation holds true. The Law states that the ‘imposition of order = the escalation of chaos’. The more you try and keep things orderly, the less orderly they become.

The trick is not to try to impose order in the first place. You have to cultivate your taste for disorder instead. Become a small-cap investor, for example.

If you knew about the Law of Eristic Escalation back in 2007, you would have been worried. It was the heyday of the ‘Great Moderation’. Economic order had been imposed by the monetary authorities of the world. Inflation was low.

Unemployment was low. Asset prices were high. But the chaos escalating in the background soon made a break for it. As Erisians would say, Lady Eris threw her Apple of Discord and all hell broke loose. The first time the Greco-Roman Goddess threw her apple, it caused the Trojan War. More on her and the Erisian Movement in a moment.

The Law of Eristic Escalation also states that the longer order is imposed, the worse the chaos. That’s why we’re still stuck in the financial crisis.

The order imposers are working hard to gain control again. They’re making laws, printing money, spending money, trying to save money and bailing out anyone who doesn’t have enough money.

All this money is eventually going to cause a different mess. But who is this Lady Eris, how did her followers predict the financial crisis and how do you invest like a Discordian?

Hallucinations in a Bowling Alley

Another gap in our knowledge growing up was religion. Our first ever school report card featured ‘at least he knows the Christmas story now.’ But that’s going to change. We’ve decided to become religious. You’re the first to hear of this, by the way. And consider yourself invited to join in too.

So what’s our choice, you must be wondering. Lutheranism? Islam? No, it’s Discordianism. We’re going to worship Lady Eris, the Greco-Roman Goddess of Chaos.

If you’re not convinced by the Law of Eristic Escalation that this religion could be useful for your investment habits, consider the following: The religion was created in 1958 after shared hallucinations in a bowling alley.

That kind of insight is just what you need in a world of Quantitative Easing, ‘too big to fail’ and stimulus. The more order they impose, the more chaos there will be. You better get ready for it. And what better way to be ready than to worship the Goddess of Chaos herself?

On a more serious note, Discordianism is a parody religion. But a very well thought out one. For example, the Law of Eristic Escalation strikes you as quite stupid unless you apply it. In fact, that’s a good way of describing Discordianism in general — stupid until you apply it. Now that’s our kind of religion!

The Law of Eristic Escalation is similar to many more credible ideas like Chaos Theory, Complexity Theory and behavioural economics. But throwing in a goddess makes the whole idea more fun.

Anyway, the central idea of Discordianism (you can disagree with it and still be a Discordian) is that order and disorder are illusions of interpretation. One man’s messy room is his son’s organised chaos. Just ask his wife about the tool shed and you’ll get the idea.

How you see the world determines what makes sense, not whether it actually makes sense. That’s why there is no real ‘makes sense’. All other religions try to explain and provide structure, while Discordianism revels in the idea of chaos and doing your own thing. After all, who knows best?

Even Discordian rules always seem to end with something that provides a universal escape clause.

If you want in on the Discordian Society
then declare yourself what you wish
do what you like
and tell us about it
or
if you prefer
don’t.

Just to keep you interested, here’s another useful part of Discordianism for investors:

‘The Law of Fives states simply that: All things happen in fives, or are divisible by or are multiples of five, or are somehow directly or indirectly appropriate to 5. The Law of Fives is never wrong.’

That sounds a bit dumb. But consider this statement by a leading Discordian:

‘I find the Law of Fives to be more and more manifest the harder I look.’

Figured it out yet? People who try and maintain the illusion of credibility (not Discordians) would call the Law of Fives ‘Confirmation Bias’. It’s the idea that, if you look hard enough, you can convince yourself of anything. Once again, it’s a sophisticated and useful idea presented in a stupid way. But it’s made easier to remember by making it funny.

Confirmation Bias is the foundation of modern economics. Students are taught to mathematically analyse data until logic is bred out of them. If they analyse long enough, they tend to find something. And, because it doesn’t have to be logical, it can get published in a journal.

If you hacked into the economic databases of the world and replaced GDP growth figures with your children’s growth figures, it wouldn’t set back economics a single day. Economists would just keep going.

We once used economic analysis to predict the stock market’s annual performance with an 80% degree of success using Big Day Out music festival attendance figures. But we made a mistake with the data. The stock market predicts Big Day Out attendance, not the other way around. So close!

We’re not sure if you’re interested in Discordianism or not. Perhaps let us know at letters@dailyreckoning.com.au. Although ‘a Discordian is prohibited from believing what he reads,’ we can choose to ignore that rule, because ‘there are no rules’.

Regards,

Nick Hubble
for The Daily Reckoning Australia

From the Archives…

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12-10-2012 – Greg Canavan

Global Economy Health Check
11-10-2012 – Satyajit Das

Super Clueless For Your Retirement
10-10-2012 – Nick Hubble

An Investment Strategy for the End of Australia’s Lucky Run
09-10-2012 – Dan Denning

How The Fed’s Forecast Fallacy Leads to Stagflation
08-10-2012 – Nick Hubble

Nick Hubble
Nick Hubble is a feature editor of The Daily Reckoning and editor of The Money for Life Letter. Having gained degrees in Finance, Economics and Law from the prestigious Bond University, Nick completed an internship at probably the most famous investment bank in the world, where he discovered what the financial world was really like. He then brought his youthful enthusiasm and energy to Port Phillip Publishing, where, instead of telling everyone about The Daily Reckoning, he started writing for it. To follow Nick's financial world view more closely you can you can subscribe to The Daily Reckoning for free here. If you’re already a Daily Reckoning subscriber, then we recommend you also join him on Google+. It's where he shares investment research, commentary and ideas that he can't always fit into his regular Daily Reckoning emails.
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8 Comments on "Discordian Religious Advice for the Investor"

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Janice
Guest

What the hell are you on about?

John
Guest

Yea, I’m now a discrud…, er, discocordian, no, er, discordismist, no wrong again, ah, Discordianismistic

shortchanged
Guest

Good one Janice, can’t beat that.

annie
Guest

I think the age of reason just finished.

Ivor Evans
Guest
What Nick appears to be saying is from a psycho dynamic point of view that one can reason any result or impression from the perceptive process one cares to make. The old story of you can make the results any thing you want and there is no absolute reality. The collective conciousness of human kind forms the collective reality from which we all learn. Once that process out lives its usefulness it is time to move on in search of truth to ensure survival of the individual. If I am wrong it does not matter. This is the beginning of… Read more »
Janice
Guest

Evans, what the hell are YOU on about?

shortchanged
Guest

‘All the worlds a stage and the men and women in it merely players’. okay.

John Isherwood
Guest

Well, I always thought that the more things changed, the more they stayed the same. Beats me!

wpDiscuz
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