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Economic News Just In: Ben Bernanke Linked to Global Warming

Oh blast! Things were looking up for the global economy. American house prices rose 5.5% from last year, Chinese GDP rebounded, and our very own mining boom is yet to ‘peak’ according to Access Economics. The result of all the good news was the Australian stock market’s longest winning streak in almost 10 years, with 10 up days in a row.

But last night we found out American GDP slumped 0.1% in the fourth quarter of last year. Markets overseas took a hit and our winning streak may be over.

How you perceive the sudden drop in the world’s most important economy depends on your politics. Some say the drop is entirely due to cuts in the defence budget, which the Republicans forced on Obama. Republicans and defence budget cuts? Hmmm.

The rest of the blogosphere is pointing out that the third quarter’s surprise GDP growth jump to 2% was due to government spending…just before the election. In other words, government spending was ‘brought forward’ to make the economy look good going into the polls.

But you can only shuffle around so much GDP growth if you’re the President. Now the bill is due in the form of less GDP in the fourth quarter. The figures match the story, but we’ll never know if it’s true.

There’s no reason to be pessimistic as an investor though. If anything goes wrong, central banks will just print more money until the stock market goes up. In fact, they’re already doing just that, according to Bloomberg:


‘The Federal Reserve will keep purchasing securities at the rate of $85 billion a month after the economy paused because of temporary forces including bad weather.’

Yes, money printing now fixes bad weather. Maybe we can somehow link it to global warming. Or blame the Federal Reserve’s Chairman Ben Bernanke for causing a bubble in one of our favourite surfing spots:

Bernanke Inflates More Bubbles
 

Bernanke Inflates More Bubbles
Source: 7 News

What more could investors want than a world run by central bankers? It’s a punter’s paradise.

The thing is, all this wonderful froth can’t last. Printing money just isn’t a good idea.

The Writing’s on the Wall
 

First of all, a reality check. American house prices didn’t rise, the increase was due to a ‘seasonal adjustment’ to the data. In fact, they declined for the second month.

China’s GDP is based on a credit bubble, with hundreds of billions of dollars in soured loans being papered over just to keep up appearances. And if the resource boom is going to peak this year, what does that mean for all the jobs tied up in growing mining infrastructure for future expansion?

The world’s recent economic news is false. Things are not improving. They’re getting steadily worse. And there’s a reason for this. An induced coma might stop you feeling pain, but it tends to be bad for your productivity.

That’s not something politicians and central bankers can understand. To them, it’s all about making things look good. They care about data, not results.

You might think we’ve had about five years of constant intervention by governments to keep the global economy barely on its feet. But you’d be wrong. We’ve had decades of it. And that’s important because it puts the global financial crisis into perspective.

Governments lost control of their crazy economic experiment for a few months. The bubble they created by manipulating monetary policy and by spending like drunkards suddenly collapsed around them.

If a disaster was possible in 2008, the same thing can happen again. Debt, deficits, unfunded liabilities, inflation, joblessness, and so much more is relying on more and more money printing and more and more spending to stay hidden. But it’s all building up. At some point, they’ll lose control again.

Just what will be our ‘Lehman Brothers moment’ this time around is a tough guess. There’s a whole buffet of possibilities to choose from. But real financial crises are triggered by something unexpected.

The problem is, they can take their time. American politician Ron Paul predicted the collapse of the housing market in 2002. Talk about being early!

So how can you profit from Bernanke’s bubbles without getting in the way of any future crisis? Australian Small-Cap Investigator Kris Sayce reckons he has the answer.

By speculating on risky stocks with a small proportion of your money, you can generate high returns without putting too much at risk. Small-Cap stocks also have a habit of dong well out of money printing, based on Kris’s track record.

It’s difficult to know whether we should look forward to an outbreak of reality in the world. What would things look like without the lies of money printers and governments? Sure, they’d look worse. But at least we’d wake up from our coma.

Regards,

Nick Hubble
for The Daily Reckoning Australia

Join me on Google+
From the Archives…

Shale the Conquering Hero!
25-01-13 – Dan Denning

The Nobel Prize for Quack Economists Like Stiglitz
24-01-13 – Bill Bonner

The Real Story Behind Germany’s Gold Recall
23-01-13 – Byron King

At the Mercy of Financial Repressionists
22-01-13 – Dan Denning

Walter Russell Hall: From Rebellion to Bullion
21-01-13 – Kris Sayce

2 Comments

  1. Ross says:

    While Bernanke is still doing $85 billion a month, the US economy is still going backwards

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-30/fed-maintains-85-billion-pace-of-purchases-as-growth-pauses.html

    there’s no way back, even Santelli said so this week.

  2. shortchanged says:

    What on earth would we do without DR, to get behind the rubbery figures and give us the good oil. It doesn’t matter what government or what country it is, its all porkies. So,…what we need is a definitive time when the brown stuff gets messy, and those with the wherewithall can shoot through to their bolt holes. Those with more modest means, its lock your doors and hide. For you know what’s coming, Julia and friends will be after gold, or other valuables which will be subject to high taxes, or even confiscation. Read what Mes. Hollande, the French President is doing, the rich are moving to London, to establish a residency, and escape the high taxes in France. David Cameron is always going on about austerity, yet throwing money at undeserving countries and calling it aid. What is a bloke to do., So DR, lets have a really serious article about this whole mess, and get your teeth into it.

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