Comments on: Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt

By: Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt - Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks

Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:59:34 +0000

[...] Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt [...]

By: Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt - Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks

Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:59:34 +0000

[...] Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt [...]

By: Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt - Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks

Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:59:34 +0000

[...] Europe Faces Day of Reckoning in Emerging Market Debt [...]

By: watcher7

watcher7 — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 03:54:40 +0000

1974-76 rally = 2008-10 rally?

The 1974-76 Dow Jones Industrial Average rally of 75.7%, that began in the recession of 73-75, a 'type' for a future rally, beginning in a recession?

The Dow valuation high of 1966 = 2000;

or alternatively

The Dow and 'glamour' stock high of 1968 = The Dow and 'dotcom' stock high of 2000 - Presidential election years.

Valuation highs in Democratic administration second-terms in 1966 and 2000.

Mild recessions in Republican administration first terms in 1969/70 and 2001.

Nominal Dow highs in Republican administration second-terms in 1973 and 2007.

The 1966 (1968) decline of 36% to May 1970 = The 2000 decline of 38% to October 2002.

The Dow declined 45.08% from 1973 to 1974;

so far, the Dow declined 42.28% from 2007 to 2008.

The bear market low of 1974, below the 1970 low = The bear market low of 2008?, below the 2002 low?

The bear market rally high of 1976 lower than the nominal high of 1973 = the bear market rally high of 2010? lower than the nominal high of 2007?

or alternatively

if the bear market low of 2008? is higher, or even it is not, than the bear market low of 2002, the bear market high of 2010 higher than 2007?

Bear market 1966 - 1982 (16 years) = Bear market 2000 - 2016?

See graphs for future article at http://www.members.optusnet.com.au/futurewatch/id79.htm

By: Tony

Tony — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 22:24:27 +0000

The Rothschild and Rocketfella are desperately pushing the New World Order. They want to brought us to its knees and beg for a new currency and and new system. Amero and World Central Bank. And finially One World government.

It is not because of the people who are evil, But because of the good people who don't do anything about it -Albert Einstein

By: Martha

Martha — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 04:34:30 +0000

I am going to Japan in end of Nov.
The Australian dollar has drop so much compare to Japanese Yen.
Everything now cost 50% more expensive.
I am kicking myself for not changing the dollar when it wasn't too back at around the 1-80 mark. Now is only 1-55.
Can someone help me and give me some advise?
Should I wait for a little longer? and change when I get there?
Or should I change whatever I have now save up for the last 6 months on this trip.......which is becoming nothing.....
I am so so scare that I can't affort to go there anymore......
Pls. let me know your feedback.
Everything would be greatly appreciated.

Best Regards,
Martha

By: Greg Atkinson

Greg Atkinson — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 02:48:09 +0000

Coffee Addict,I was using Yen to buy Australian dollars yesterday, not serious money just a nibble,but I know the Japanese cannot afford to have the Yen this strong, so something will go "snap" eventually. There are also a lot of Australian companies that will get a big balance sheet boost from a weak $AUD and so it is not all gloom and doom. I am also hoping some of the ASX listed Japan Property Trusts get a boost since in theory their portfolio is now up around 40% in dollar terms. (although the property market in Japan is a little dicey at the moment)

By: Coffee Addict

Coffee Addict — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 02:13:22 +0000

I am starting to feel BULLISH! The value of the Australian Market has dropped around 60 to 65% when valued in the USD or the EURO. Its all been oversold even "bearing" in mind the inevitability of a major global recession.

The key advantage to Australia is the sell off of the dollar - which means that Australians can continue to be competitive within a very gloomy, shape shifted global market.

There will be no V curve rebound. This time it will be a long an L curve so there is no reason to jump into the market quickly. It will take time for exporters, producers and manufacturers to adapt to different martlet environment. Indeed, years of coordinated national EFFORT will be needed to get back to anything resembling a stabilised normal growth curve.

By: Ian Lucas

Ian Lucas — Mon, 27 Oct 2008 07:43:01 +0000

"...the entire strain of the crisis in the U.S. was generated by a politically desirable outcome in residential housing. The original mis-allocation of investment dollars came about because politicians insisted that banks make loans to people who couldn't repay them."

Simple as that, huh?

I hope your investment advice is more nuanced.