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	<title>Comments on: Energy, Cycle Theory and a Weak Dollar</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/</link>
	<description>An independent perspective on the Australian and global investment markets</description>
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		<title>By: henry clark</title>
		<link>http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/comment-page-1/#comment-2073</link>
		<dc:creator>henry clark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 May 2007 04:07:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/#comment-2073</guid>
		<description>Marc Faber narrates yesterday, how american financials have not participated in the april may 2007, dow rally.
This is not the case here in Melbourne, with the banks.
 Out at hoppers crossing, where there is mile upon mile of new land and house packages($250,000-$300,000)things still seem upbeat.
Not so with the 20 year old,plus, housing market,in Werribee, Wyndam vale, and Laverton.Here mortgagee sales are being passed in at the $160,000 mark.
 Back in 2003, there seemed to be plenty of carpenters ,telstra techs etc who were buying 10 properties ,to hold for 10 years,to bank a cool million.
Nice work if you can get it.
 Whoops!
 These guys have been driven insane by the continual share market headlines and are now big sellers.
The sucker family,(Thats bedrooms for the kids,and a letter box to stuff the bills in) is on the ropes and the rent is the last priority.All in all, a lot of for closure, and rapid urban decline.
So how come the Australian Banks ars still rallying?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Marc Faber narrates yesterday, how american financials have not participated in the april may 2007, dow rally.<br />
This is not the case here in Melbourne, with the banks.<br />
 Out at hoppers crossing, where there is mile upon mile of new land and house packages($250,000-$300,000)things still seem upbeat.<br />
Not so with the 20 year old,plus, housing market,in Werribee, Wyndam vale, and Laverton.Here mortgagee sales are being passed in at the $160,000 mark.<br />
 Back in 2003, there seemed to be plenty of carpenters ,telstra techs etc who were buying 10 properties ,to hold for 10 years,to bank a cool million.<br />
Nice work if you can get it.<br />
 Whoops!<br />
 These guys have been driven insane by the continual share market headlines and are now big sellers.<br />
The sucker family,(Thats bedrooms for the kids,and a letter box to stuff the bills in) is on the ropes and the rent is the last priority.All in all, a lot of for closure, and rapid urban decline.<br />
So how come the Australian Banks ars still rallying?</p>
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		<title>By: Rod Campbell-Ross</title>
		<link>http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/comment-page-1/#comment-2068</link>
		<dc:creator>Rod Campbell-Ross</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 May 2007 11:53:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/energy-cycle-theory/2007/05/03/#comment-2068</guid>
		<description>This is a good article, and it should be read with the excellent linked article on net energy.

Dr SamSam Bahktiari, ex senior exec in Irans National oil company describes oil as the master dominoe. Indeed it is. Everything else depends on it, including food. The massive increases in yields since WWII have a lot to with oil: pesticides, fertilizers and machinery. Once oil production set in, there is going to be less food and famine is going to become a much bigger problem than it is today.

If I have a criticism of this article it is that it presents a notion that at will be business as usual, sort of. After Peak Oil it will not be, unless we can crack the net energy issue. How do we manage economies without growth? Our capital markets work because there is growth. 

Neoclassical economics has made a right royal stuff up in terms of how we have managed oil. They really need to get their thinking caps on to determine how we can manage economies without growth. 

Then there is the issue of government, or lack of it. Our political leaders really are lamentably poor. There are one or two stars: Turnbull is one, but even he is locked into a system carefully cloreographed by plodders. And what plodders they are! Very, very ordinary, to a man (and woman). 

We need someone who is honest, not  just that he doesn&#039;t lie, but intellectually honest, someone who also has vision and the charisma to lead. We need a real statesmen. Energy is the defining issue of the times and the current crop of plodders are just not going to do anything worthwhile. They haven&#039;t even understood the problem, or if they have, they are lacking in the necessary honesty, vision, inspiration and courage to do anything about it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a good article, and it should be read with the excellent linked article on net energy.</p>
<p>Dr SamSam Bahktiari, ex senior exec in Irans National oil company describes oil as the master dominoe. Indeed it is. Everything else depends on it, including food. The massive increases in yields since WWII have a lot to with oil: pesticides, fertilizers and machinery. Once oil production set in, there is going to be less food and famine is going to become a much bigger problem than it is today.</p>
<p>If I have a criticism of this article it is that it presents a notion that at will be business as usual, sort of. After Peak Oil it will not be, unless we can crack the net energy issue. How do we manage economies without growth? Our capital markets work because there is growth. </p>
<p>Neoclassical economics has made a right royal stuff up in terms of how we have managed oil. They really need to get their thinking caps on to determine how we can manage economies without growth. </p>
<p>Then there is the issue of government, or lack of it. Our political leaders really are lamentably poor. There are one or two stars: Turnbull is one, but even he is locked into a system carefully cloreographed by plodders. And what plodders they are! Very, very ordinary, to a man (and woman). </p>
<p>We need someone who is honest, not  just that he doesn't lie, but intellectually honest, someone who also has vision and the charisma to lead. We need a real statesmen. Energy is the defining issue of the times and the current crop of plodders are just not going to do anything worthwhile. They haven't even understood the problem, or if they have, they are lacking in the necessary honesty, vision, inspiration and courage to do anything about it.</p>
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