Get Out of Stocks Completely

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‘In the end more than they wanted freedom, they wanted security. When the Athenians finally wanted not to give to society but for society to give to them, when the freedom they wished for was freedom from responsibility, then Athens ceased to be free.’

– Edward Gibbon (1737-1794)

From Barack Obama’s point of view, what’s the worst thing that could happen now? A big drop in the stock market. It will make people feel insecure…they’ll think something is wrong. And they’ll be right.

It was partly to keep stock prices up that Ben Bernanke launched his all-you-can-eat QE programme when he did. But wantin’ ain’t always gettin’.

Reuters:

‘Stocks fell on Tuesday, driving the Dow industrials to the biggest drop since June 21, as weak results from index members DuPont and United Technologies showed profit growth is slowing.

“This earnings season has so far produced a string of disappointments from companies falling short of Wall Street’s expectations. With results in from 29% of S&P 500 companies, 37% have exceeded revenue forecasts, far short of the 62% average, and just 57.2% of the S&P 500 names reporting so far have beaten earnings forecasts, according to Thomson Reuters data.

“That would be the worst percentage of companies beating earnings estimates since the fourth quarter of 2001 – should it stay at the current level, the data showed.’

Dear readers should be out of stocks completely. They may go up in price…or down. But there’s not enough real growth in the economy to justify the risk of owning them now.

US stocks are not cheap. Not even close. Some day they will be cheap. We’ll wait. Being out of the stock market will make watching the news a whole lot more agreeable in the months to come.

Right now, a rising stock market favours Obama. Falling stock prices favour his opponent. When stock prices are going up, people figure all is well. When they are going down they get sour and vote for a change.

Regards,

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning Australia

From the Archives…

China’s GDP Growth Ponzi Scheme
19-10-2012 – Greg Canavan

An Australian Property Boom and Bust all at Once
18-10-2012 – Greg Canavan

The Fed’s New Stooge
17-10-2012 – Bill Bonner

Discordian Religious Advice for the Investor
16-10-2012 – Nick Hubble

Electric Cars and Platinum Mines
15-10-2012 – Dan Denning

Bill Bonner

Bill Bonner

Best-selling investment author Bill Bonner is the founder and president of Agora Publishing, one of the world's most successful consumer newsletter companies. Owner of both Fleet Street Publications and MoneyWeek magazine in the UK, he is also author of the free daily e-mail The Daily Reckoning.
Bill Bonner

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