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Greatest Economic Disaster in Recorded History


By Porter Stansberry • April 16th, 2009 • Related Articles • Filed Under

About the Author

PorterPorter Stansberry founded Stansberry & Associates Investment Research LLC, a private publishing company based in Baltimore, Maryland, in 1999. His monthly newsletter, Porter Stansberry’s Investment Advisory, deals with safe value investments poised to give subscribers years of exceptional returns. And his weekly trading service, Porter Stansberry’s Put Strategy Report, shows readers the smartest way to book big gains during the ongoing financial crisis.

See All Articles by This Author

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Filed Under: Market
Tags: congressional budget office • economic assets • economic leadership • economic strategy • gold bullion • gold stock • Great Depression • inflation • obama • price of gold • U.S. government

It's going to be a real disaster...

The current administration's economic strategy will create an unmitigated disaster - not only our country's worst financial calamity, but the greatest economic disaster in recorded history.

I first warned my readers about what was happening last December, in a letter titled The End of America:

"The coming great inflation will destroy America's economic leadership. It will lead - eventually - to the return of settling international obligations in gold instead of paper dollars. And this will happen much faster than anyone expects.

"By the time Obama leaves office, you will not be able to exchange dollars for any sound currency in the world without permission from the U.S. government. The price of gold will be well over $2,500 per ounce. Most importantly, commodities will no longer be priced in dollars either, but instead in the currencies of the leading producer. Americans haven't experienced anything like this since the Great Depression."

Since I wrote that first warning, I have become much more concerned and much more afraid. What the president has done is actually worse - much worse - than even the dire scenario I had envisioned. Not only is the administration planning on enormous deficit spending this year, but the current plan calls for increasing deficit spending for the next decade - spending that will more than double our entire national debt during his presidency.

The Congressional Budget Office produced the following graphic, which compares the deficits of the 1980s and 1990s to the current and future budgets. Assuming Obama remains in power over the next eight years and assuming these deficits aren't actually much larger (which almost always happens), the Congressional Budget office estimates the president's budget will add more than $10 trillion to the total federal debt by 2019 - approximately as much total debt as was outstanding at the beginning of 2007.

Obama plans to borrow more money over the next eight years than all of the other presidents - combined.

It's very hard to put this in perspective. The numbers have become so large they're almost meaningless. "Twenty trillion" has 13 zeros: $20,000,000,000,000. Nobody can think about a number that large. But consider this... In 1980, the entire federal debt totaled $930 million. Assuming we're paying 5% on our debt in 2019, we will spend more money on interest than our entire national debt of 1980.

This level of debt is going to be a huge problem because no one will want to pay the money back - ever. And it can't be financed forever. The poor will blame the rich. The rich will leave and take their wealth offshore. And absolute chaos will follow. The dollar will be completely destroyed.

Now... I know... you're thinking, "I've heard all of this before. But the end of the world somehow doesn't happen. We find a way out."

Not this time. In fact, when I wrote last year that the dollar would cease to be the world's reserve currency much faster than anyone expects, I'm sure no one took me seriously. But since then, we've heard two of the world's leading powers - China and Russia - both openly suggesting a new world reserve currency must be created. Putin is even talking about using gold to settle international trade. It will happen because no one will want to be a creditor to the United States.

As more and more people try to get out of the dollar, the government will be forced to forbid the free exchange of dollars into other currencies - and perhaps even to forbid the purchase of gold bullion. This will happen. I guarantee it. And it will happen during the Obama administration.

That's why it's critical for you to take precautions now, while you still can.

The first thing you should do, if you haven't yet, is buy gold bullion. It's easy: You just call a few coin dealers, find out who offers the lowest premium on bullion, and wire them the money. Once you have the coins, they're easy to hide, easy to store, and easy to transport. There's no law (yet) saying you can't take bullion out of the country. If things start moving that way, you should have enough time to get the bullion out before the law passes. If not... well... you can clip your coins easily and use the gold to pay for whatever you might need.

I also believe you should immediately buy gold stocks. In fact, I'm convinced you'll never have a chance to buy gold stocks this cheaply again... Gold stocks have never been cheaper compared to the price of gold itself. This is an amazing, once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. I truly hope you'll capitalize on it.

The second thing you should do is move as large a percentage of your financial assets as possible out of the country. Unfortunately, I don't know enough about this yet to offer any good advice. I'm working on it.

And the third thing you ought to do is to build a stimulus package for yourself. I realize it's paradoxical. But the coming crisis will make lots of people rich. It's not hard to generate a paper fortune in a huge inflation. All you have to do is own the most important economic assets: energy, communication, and transportation. Thing to do right now is buy the assets you know the government has to have for the economy to function. These assets will remain in private hands, and their values will increase the most.

I can tell you what happens to countries that go bankrupt. I've been to Argentina. I'm familiar with the history of Mexico and Great Britain. We'll see the same things here, shortly: inflation, huge tax increases, capital flight and, eventually, capital controls.

It will probably take decades for Americans to realize socialism doesn't work. But that clarity might not happen during my lifetime. And I don't want my assets to be stuck inside a banana republic in the midst of a huge socialist experiment. I'm graveyard serious: If you do not take precautions and prepare yourself and your family for the inevitable collapse of our currency, you will suffer incredibly over the next decade.

Good investing,

Porter Stansberry
for The Daily Reckoning Australia

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Related Articles:

  • Obama Plans to Raise Taxes on the Rich and Businesses
  • Gorbachev and the Most Complete Test in Economic History
  • The Chinese and the Fed Both Buying U.S. Treasury Bonds
  • Biggest Bankruptcy in Wall Street History
  • US Debt… $15 Trillion and Counting…

About the Author

PorterPorter Stansberry founded Stansberry & Associates Investment Research LLC, a private publishing company based in Baltimore, Maryland, in 1999. His monthly newsletter, Porter Stansberry’s Investment Advisory, deals with safe value investments poised to give subscribers years of exceptional returns. And his weekly trading service, Porter Stansberry’s Put Strategy Report, shows readers the smartest way to book big gains during the ongoing financial crisis.

See All Posts by This Author

There Are 10 Responses So Far. »

  1. Comment by Pete on 16 April 2009:

    Some interesting points, but this advice is definitely not for everyone, just investors it seems.

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  2. Comment by Bertie on 17 April 2009:

    Porter Stansberry was at a teabag party and he had a sign that read

    Obama is a Muslim!!!!!!!

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  3. Comment by Moray on 17 April 2009:

    Porter Stansberry was teabagging?

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  4. Comment by Greg Atkinson on 17 April 2009:

    Oh shock horror...another DR article that suggests people buy gold. What a surprise :)

    Oh and I love the bit when the author tells us where he has been in the world...but the question is....has he been to Bali and got the t-shirt?!?

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  5. Comment by TripleSigma on 18 April 2009:

    It would be interesting to see all of the numbers here presented as inflation adjusted.

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  6. Comment by Paul Frost on 18 April 2009:

    the best fruit to put in a fruitcake is a stansberry !!!

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  7. Comment by Bertie on 18 April 2009:

    Stansberry is a tea bagger of the highest order, he was at the tea bagging events tea bagging away with his placard that read 'OBAMA IS FOREIGN BORN' and then he was handing out leaflets that said-
    By the time Obama leaves office, you will not be able to exchange dollars for any sound currency in the world without permission from the U.S. government.
    All the fellow tea baggers cheered and said that Stansberry is good but not as bright as Sarah Palin, her theories are smarter than Stansberrys, she is really bright.

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  8. Comment by hazenyc on 21 April 2009:

    Don't forget that nearly all currency in the world is now fiat, not just the US Dollar -- and most gov'ts of the world are printing money to stave off their own recessions. The Euro, Pound, Yen, AUD etc are all going to devalue do to oversupply once a recovery in the economy begins. You will see gold (AND SILVER!) rise in relation to ALL currencies not just dollars!
    An interesting article in last weeks TIME magazine speculates that the new world currency may be IMF notes.. hmmmmm...

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  9. Comment by Greg Atkinson on 21 April 2009:

    Now that is scary..IMF notes! Who gets their picture on those? :)

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  10. Comment by Julian Tonti-Filippini on 22 April 2009:

    The whole *point* of the IMF is that they are supposed to prevent the world from destroying itself through competitive devaluation, like the first depression. Of course, the IMF has morphed into a totally different beast from its original charter, but that's another story.

    The tool that they are supposed to use to control competitive devaluation is the SDR (Special Drawing Right), aka 'IMF money'. All it really is, is a hybrid fiat currency backed by a basket of other currencies, right now, USD, Euro and Yen.

    When I hear this talk of hammering out more SDRs I translate it to this: "we're gonna push this inflation onto the third world".

    The IMF say that they will increase their activity in the developing world to help support them during these tough economic times. Of course, the help will come in the form of SDRs, printed up to represent all the extra participant currency that is being printed up under 'quantitative easing', effectively pushing targeted inflation away from us and onto them.

    That's my cynical take on it.

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