Investors in COMEX Futures Don’t Necessarily Want Physical Gold

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Avery Goodman at Seekingalpha.com asks the intriguing question, “Did the ECB Save COMEX from Gold Default?”

If I had been writing it, I would have titled it “Not All Of The People In The World Are Stupid!” with the subhead, “There are lots of smart people who are buying gold to capitalize on the sheer stupidity of governments abusing fiat currencies so that inflation in prices will soar as inflation in the money supply soars, until gold-owning people, giddy with greedy glee, will say, ‘The Mogambo was right! Whee! This investing stuff is easy!'”

But I am not here to show off how good I am at coming up with boffo headlines with the subtle undertones so that they offer me a job, at a fabulous salary, to write headline gems like this one; this is about how “On Tuesday morning, gold derivatives dealers, who had sold short in the face of a fast rising gold price, faced a serious predicament. Some 27,000+ contracts, representing about 15% of the April COMEX gold futures contracts remained open” indicating that, as holders of those long gold contracts, they “demanded” delivery of the physical gold “by holding futures contracts past the expiration date.”

The big problem belongs to the short-sellers of gold, who are finding, suddenly, that “long buyers were demanding in droves” – demanding physical gold bars, when, apparently, there were not enough.

Since I am confused as to what all of this means, Mr. Goodman correctly interprets the blank look on my face as puzzlement – if not outright befuddlement – and patiently explains that to keep things in perspective, history has shown that people investing in COMEX futures don’t necessarily want physical gold, and that they are merely speculators, as, “In normal times, very few people do this. Only about 1% or less of gold contracts must be delivered. The lack of delivery demand allows the casino-like world of paper gold futures contracts to operate. Very few short sellers actually expect or intend to deliver real gold. They are, mostly, merely playing with paper” which is the basis of the alleged gold and silver scams, as GATA.org and Ted Butler have long exposed, which gets us talking about how corrupt regulators are these days, as everything is else corrupted these days, which is, of course, just what you would expect at the end of long monetary booms, which doesn’t make it any more palatable.

But back to our story of the almost-default at COMEX… Fortunately, at the last minute, Deutsche Bank delivered “a massive 850,000 ounces, or 8500 contracts worth of the yellow metal.”

This is where I kind of lost interest, as this kind of thing is like blood in the water to sharks, who will soon be looking at the low price of gold and the complete lack of supply of bullion, and they will be hatching plots to squeeze this disparity and make a lot of money, and I was soon fantasizing about how my tiny little stash of gold will soar and everybody else who doesn’t own gold will be busted out, now that the scam has been busted, and there will be people, like cute college coeds, who will be so desperate that they will say they are willing to do anything for money, and I will say, “Anything?” and then they will quickly affirm, “Anything!”, and so I again ask, but with a rakishly raised eyebrow and licking my lips in a lascivious manner, “Anything?” and they gulp and say, but without their former enthusiasm, “Anything”… So you can see how I was distracted.

And anyway, somewhere along the line he admits that it is “circumstantial evidence” that Deutsche Bank was a major holder of short positions, or that “the gold used by Deutsche Bank to deliver and fulfill its COMEX obligations, came directly or indirectly, from the ECB”, which gets back to the headline “Did the ECB Save COMEX from Gold Default?” that we were discussing previously.

All of this, of course, is fraudulently criminal in many, many ways, breaks a lot of regulations in those and other ways, and he calls for investigations and indictments and all of that stuff, which won’t happen because the amount of corruption at the end of long monetary booms is so pandemic that it won’t be allowed.

Now, before I go off ranting and raving about how another bunch of scumbags perpetrated another scam with compliance from government scumbags, let’s concentrate on the important fact that not only are a bunch of guys buying gold and demanding delivery of the actual metal, but now increasing demand has swamped supply! Amazing!

In conclusion, let me say that if people don’t buy gold, in spite of the overwhelming historical evidence to do so when the money supply is set to double (and then double again and again!), in spite of gold’s gains for the last decade, in spite of the sight of people suddenly taking delivery of physical gold in unprecedented amounts, and in spite of me telling them right to their faces to buy gold, then there is something very, very wrong with them, which ought to give them something to think about as they are idly scratching around in the dirt looking for bugs to eat, because this economic mess caused by a Congress constantly deficit-spending and a Federal Reserve constantly creating the money for them to do so is going to get Really, Really Nasty (RRN), and I am scared for me and for them.

But I am not as scared when I have gold, so at least I have that going for me! Whee!

Until next time,

The Mogambo Guru
for The Daily Reckoning Australia

P.S. The amount of gold you have is inversely proportional to how scared you should be that inflation is going to eat you alive. So, if you are not buying gold with every free moment you have, you should expect very soon to be cowering in fear in some dark corner of your basement, wishing that the Mogambo had not already purchased the world’s last remaining ounces… But it will be too late.

Mogambo Guru
Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo Guru economic newsletter - an avocational exercise to heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it.
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4 Comments on "Investors in COMEX Futures Don’t Necessarily Want Physical Gold"

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billf
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The problem i have with all this “money printing” is that it is not mentioned in the context of the 52 trillion in debt outstanding in America. Hence when viewed in this light we realize that the amount of money being printed is paltry and deflation is still winning. Remember, the government is a follower, not a leader, so they are starting this printing after deflation has started. There is one person who gets it in perspective and that’s Robert Prechter, from EWI.

Richo
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Deflation and inflation aren’t blank and white. I believe what we have now is price correction for some assets (My wonderful shares in ExampleCo have dropped in price because the company is at risk of default); But we could have inflation in goods and low-risk assets. When South American nations had hyperinflation in the 80’s, it wasn’t because their economies were so strong, it was due to printing money. I believe that while prices will fall for most assets, prices for goods with fixed supply (gold, oil, food, land) will rise. On that note, I think its crazy that govts… Read more »
diggla
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Inflation is, and will only ever be a monetary phenomenon. Because debt is money, when debt defaults, money dies. But this makes debt more expensive, and so more money must be created to cover the debt. This ensures every greater debt creation until the destruction of the currency. All paper money experiments end in collapse, because paper money is only, and will only ever be a fraud. If you buy gold and silver now, you are buying future money at a fraction of what it is truly worth. But I suggest everybody buy T-bills, that way I have more time… Read more »
Rob
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Are you sure you haven’t missed the boat on this one? It looks like China is buying base metals rather than gold at the moment – instead of US Bonds – hence the massive price rises over the last few months. This will only continue as the US furiously prints cash (along with the rest of us).

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