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Borrowing and Paying Back in a Foreign Currency

Capital flows are good now. The sun is shining and the country is lucky. But if we’re right and the strong Aussie dollar is mostly a function of the U.S. dollar carry trade, capital flows can reverse just as quickly. Currency traders probably love this because of the volatility. But the question is: how risky is it for Australia’s economy to source so much of its borrowing needs overseas?

18Nov2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
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US Has Highest Unemployment Rate of All Major Economies

You give them more money, say, in unemployment assistance. Or, you give them a tax credit when they buy a new house. Or, you give companies a big tax break.

17Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 3 comments | Continued
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Big Drops in Stock Prices Are Always Followed by Bounces

A bounce of 50% of what was lost is not unusual. That’s what happened after the Crash of ‘29, for example. So, there’s nothing exceptional about what we’re seeing on Wall Street.

17Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
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Dollar Rally the Sort of Thing that Will Lead to Correction in Gold Price

House prices were up 6.2% in the third quarter over the same time last year, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. House prices in the capital cities are surging. Stocks are surging. Gold and oil are surging.

17Nov2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
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Best Investment Opportunities Emerge from Water, Agriculture, Gold and Energy

And some of those opportunities will feature a combination of these resource categories. One of the most intriguing combinations is what I call the energy-water nexus.

17Nov2009 | Chris Mayer | 0 comments | Continued
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Gorbachev and the Most Complete Test in Economic History

Readers may know Mikhail Gorbachev as a fellow who advertises Louis Vuitton luggage. But before he made it big as a mannequin, he was the top man in the Soviet Union. It was not an easy job.

16Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 6 comments | Continued
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Should Foreigners Invest in Argentina?

“Much of the world is going through a downswing of the credit cycle. Argentina doesn’t have and didn’t have much credit. So it will be spared the big problems. But it sells farm produce to the rest of the world.

16Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Obama Urged to Fix Airline Industry

On the surface of it, the idea is absurd. What does Obama know about airplanes? Who would want to fly in an airplane with Obama in the pilot seat?

16Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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US Economy and its Political System Has Become More Rigid and Costly

One thing Americans take for granted is that they will always be the richest, most successful people on earth. They think that because that is what they have always known.

16Nov2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
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$2,000 Gold Prediction

The weekend edition of the Australian Financial Review has gold on the cover, incidentally. You can see a picture of it a few paragraphs down. Underneath the giant golden letters it reads, “Why you shouldn’t laugh about gold hitting $US2000 an oz.” But if anyone’s laughing, it’s a nervous laughter.

16Nov2009 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
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