By the way, is that phrase “key psychological levels” just a load of horse pucky used by analysts and commentators to try and explain things they don’t understand?
April 8th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "Alex Cowie"
Proposed China Boycott of Aussie Iron Ore Majors
But we asked him via email if the proposed boycott of the Aussie iron ore majors (BHP and Rio) by the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) was having effect on the smaller iron ore stocks he’s recommended. Incidentally, we wouldn’t expect the move to stick.
April 7th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
RBA Governor Glenn Stevens Reveals Intention to Raise Interest Rates to Normal Levels
When the man who sets interest rates tells you that you’re rising, it would be wise to at least hear him out. Whether you take him at his word is up to you. But if you’re making financial plans – say, like you’re going to buy a house and are trying to figure out if you can stand a few extra points rise in the interest rate – the man has told you what is going to happen.
March 30th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 48 comments | Continued
A Loss is Not a Loss if You Turn Debt into Equity
The yoke of debt may have felt light until now. But the lash of higher rates on the back will definitely be noticeable. Let’s just hope it doesn’t break the financial back of a whole generation of home buyers, although this is what we fear “bringing forward demand” will do.
March 24th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 15 comments | Continued
Inflation is a Reality in China
Bloomberg reports that consumer prices rose by 2.7% in February. That’s the fastest monthly growth rate in 16 months. And it eclipses the annual yield on savings deposits of 2.25%. Savers aren’t beating inflation. And if they can’t do that, they may as well spend the money. That could ignite a rising price cycle in China that monetary authorities want to avoid.
March 12th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
Is the American Government the Place to Park Your Money During Dangerous Times?
Whenever markets tank, the American dollar and its government’s bonds seem to surge. Daily Reckoning readers know we consider this to be absurd.
February 13th, 2010 | Nickolai Hubble | 1 comment | Continued
Your Garden Variety Global Financial Crisis or Something Wilder?
But first, why are companies hoarding cash? Bloomberg reports that companies in the S&P 500 have increased their cash holdings to an aggregate US$1.18 trillion dollars. The big blue chip multinationals have cut spending, frozen new hires (not literally), and generally kept cautious until more details emerge about the economic landscape.
February 12th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 121 comments | Continued
If Market Keeps this Way, There May Be More Beaten Down Stocks
It’s quickly becoming a market where you’re worried more about the preservation of your capital rather than capital appreciation or even dividends. Late last night we read the latest monthly report from Australian Wealth Gameplan, edited by Kris Sayce. Kris has come up with a way to hedge against the falling Aussie dollar and listed all the collateral damage that would occur if the currency falls more.
February 9th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 11 comments | Continued
Goldman Calling for US$100 Oil by 2011
Goldman’s oil analyst Jeffrey Currie is referring to what we termed last year, “The Long Aftershock.” It refers to the 2007 oil price crash sowing the seeds for the next oil bull market. Currie says his analysis leads to the conclusion that, “By 2011, the [oil] market is back to capacity constraints…The financial crisis created a collapse in company returns which has significantly interrupted the investment phase.”
January 19th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Trickle of Chinese Money into Australian Housing and Equities Small Compared to Growth in Bank Lending
Chinese bank lending surged by over US$1.35 trillion in 2009, according to Shaun Rein at Forbes. Much of that money went into stocks. And a lot of it went into Shanghai and Beijing real estate. Whether China bought itself a bubble is a very good question. One important point is that Chinese lending is based on savings…and isn’t borrowed (in U.S. fashion).
January 12th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
A Sovereign Debt Crisis Bullish for U.S. Dollar and Bearish for Gold
In fact you don’t have to imagine it all. Or be insane. Bloomberg reports that, “Dollar Rises as Stocks, Commodities Fall in Flight From Risk.”
February gold futures fell below $1,100, down 2.5%. The Dow Jones Industrials fell 1.27%. The S&P 500 shed just over 1%. And the U.S. dollar rallied against all 16 currencies in the dollar index. What gives?
December 18th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Speculators and Chinese Firms Accumulating Australian Resource Companies and Commodities
And while China and America bicker over currencies, Chinese firms are scrambling to buy real assets. And while Aussie banks source foreign borrowing to lend in local real estate, Aussie mining firms go begging for bits of capital that would bring world-class ore bodies (and key strategic resources) into production…by local producers and owners.
November 19th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
The Fed Has Put a Rocket Under the Market
The unconventional wisdom is that the Fed has learned nothing from the last bubble – or is so scared of deflation it’s willing to gamble on another bubble in asset prices. The trouble , the eventual bust in asset prices has to be reckoned up. And the Fed, along with all central banks who key off the Fed’s policy, are just kicking the can down the road, hoping asset values improve.
November 10th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
AUD Price of Gold a Measure of Gold’s Strength Against Other Currencies
Ah. So for gold to move in Aussie dollar terms there has to be more than just a big bear market in the USD. Demand for gold has to rise globally.
October 9th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
