Roach was what I call a realist, but he was more commonly labelled a bear, a pessimist, and a crank. When the market was soaring to new highs, Roach spoke about his professional ostracism…
October 13th, 2009 | Greg Canavan | 0 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "asx"
Buying and Holding a Bad Strategy if Bank Earnings Remain Unpredictable
If we’re right, households have just begun reducing their debt loads. It will take years for the leverage in the system to be wound down. See Bill’s comments about that below. If you’re buying bank stocks you’re assuming credit and debt growth will resume once this recession is over. That’s a big assumption. And probably stupid.
August 12th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Equity Premium Will Be Replaced With a Tangible Asset Premium
Geez. Last Friday we made the case that the equity premium in stocks is going to revert to its historic mean. Remember that the equity premium is your willingness to pay more for future corporate earnings today because you believe stocks do better than bonds and cash over time.
July 27th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Australia Presents Investors With Great Portfolio of Energy Choices
The uranium spot price is coming off a low after a big correction. But as we’ve covered in Diggers and Drillers, the demand for nuclear fuel from global utilities is on the rise. Australia – with over 30% of the world’s proven uranium reserves – is in the pole position (side by side with Kazakhstan, arguably) to provide the world with what it needs.
July 21st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
The Public Still Buys Stocks but the Love is Gone
According to the Australian Share Ownership Study by the ASX, overall share ownership among Australians dropped to 6.7 million in 2008, or just 41%. That was down from 46% ownership near the top of the market in 2006. According to Chris Zappone in The Age, “The study shows risk-wary investors saying they “they preferred blue-chip shares” amid falling confidence in the overall market.”
June 29th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
Warren Buffett Says American Economy is a Shambles
Yesterday didn’t turn out so bad after all on the ASX. Stocks finished slightly up, as did the Aussie dollar and oil. Today might be a different story, though. For starters, billionaire investor/guru/jovial-grandfatherly-figure Warren Buffett has said the American economy is a “shambles.” Buffett told CNBC that the worst of the financial crisis peaked late last year (we’re not so sure). But the economic crisis? That’s still in full flight…
June 25th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
Were the Government’s Stress Tests a Bogus Exercise in Deception?
Here we go again. Australia’s Federal budget-revealing glorious new deficit, is coming is coming next week. But this week will be all about tomorrow’s Reserve Bank meeting and today’s house price data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
May 4th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Swan Rejects China Minmetals’ Bid
This is no laughing matter for OZ or its shareholders. The company has $1.3 billion in debt it must refinance by Tuesday. The $2.6 billion bid from Minmetals would have solved that problem. But now the question is whether OZ’s bankers will give it more time, or pull the plug.
March 30th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
The Problem With a Well-Diversified Portfolio
But of course, it’s not in the interests of fund managers to promote such a strategy. They want to convince you that managing investments is too hard for the average punter – leave it to them, your money will be safe in their hands… No thanks.
March 19th, 2009 | Kris Sayce | 7 comments | Continued
Marshalling the Armies of Inflation
Is Mr. Market schizophrenic? He’s acting like it. Just before 1pm on Friday, the All Ordinaries traded at 3,201. The market was bad and getting worse. Then, shares rallied nearly 5.7% for the rest of the day. The All Ords closed up 54 points on the day. But from the intraday low to the close, it was more like 186 points. Now that’s what we call a bounce back! Maybe Mr. Market had a few martinis for lunch and came back in a reckless mood…
November 24th, 2008 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued