What was the single, most damaging trade of 2009? There are a number of candidates: short stocks, short gold and long the dollar would all be in the running.
December 4th, 2009 | Steve Belmont | 0 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "bear market"
You Buy Gold When the Government is Making a Mess of the Monetary Situation
Are the feds making a mess of the monetary situation? Oh dear, dear reader…please ask us something harder. Trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see…
November 24th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Japan and its Economy Did Not Have Secret to Everlasting Success
Let’s see, in the 1980s Japan’s corporate leaders thought they were going to take over the world. Investors thought so too. They expanded. They wheeled. They dealed. Prices shot up and they all thought they were geniuses.
November 13th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 13 comments | Continued
We Can Expect More and More People to Want to Own Gold
Gold seems to be advancing towards a new milestone – $1,100. Makes us nervous. We always feel more comfortable out in the wide, open spaces…
November 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Bear Market Bounce a Sure Thing
Well, we’re still not there. But an analyst from Morgan Stanley tells us that markets tend to do better than that. The typical bounce is about 70%, says he.
October 26th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Investors Think Things Will Return to the Way They Were in the Bubble Epoque
The Wall Street Journal is talking about a “full recovery” in luxury goods sales by 2011. And Wall Street itself is pricing stocks as if the record profit margins of ’05 and ’06 were just around the corner.
October 21st, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Economic Cycle Theory
We began the week wondering about the cycles of history and markets. We wondered whether Australia is following the Anglo-American cycle into a long-winter…where people lose confidence in each other, in government, and in the institutions they relied on in the past for law and order, employment, and prosperity.
October 15th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 30 comments | Continued
Roach and His Bearish, Pessimistic Attitude
Roach was what I call a realist, but he was more commonly labelled a bear, a pessimist, and a crank. When the market was soaring to new highs, Roach spoke about his professional ostracism…
October 13th, 2009 | Greg Canavan | 1 comment | Continued
Is Gold at $1000 a Bargain…Or a Trap?
Barclays Capital says gold could go to $1,500. We don’t know where they got that number. It could go to $15,000 for all we know.
October 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 4 comments | Continued
When People Fear Inflation or a Falling Dollar They Find Refuge in Gold
Gold is also a target of greedy speculators sometimes, even when the going is good. According to a study done by the World Gold Council, you never know what gold will do.
October 5th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Most People Think a Rising Housing Market Makes Them Richer
House prices seem to be stabilizing. In some areas, they are going up. Of course, in some places you can get a house at half the price it sold for two years ago. That lures buyers back into the market.
October 1st, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 11 comments | Continued
Should You Buy Gold Now?
The Trade of the Decade is still buy gold/sell stocks. And the decade isn’t over. If you have US stocks, this is a good time to sell. The Dow went up 63 points yesterday – a weak bounce after several days of losses.
September 7th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Bear Markets Do Not End With Stocks Still Trading at Nearly 20 Times Earnings
What’s more, stock market trends tend to follow long cycles. The last bear market bottom was in ’82. It came after 14 years of disillusionment and disappointment. By the time stocks were ready to go up investors were sick of hearing about them.
September 4th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
China, the Miracle Economy
There are some other ways of keeping score that tend to tilt the game in China’s favor – at least, on paper. When you add up all the scores – it shows China a big winner. But by the end of the day, it isn’t at all clear that China’s economy is growing at such a breakneck speed.
August 13th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
Investors in China Have Learned Nothing From the Crash of ’07-’08
With no barriers to entry, profit margins are always squeezed by competition. And growth is limited too – other builders are always starting up. If the investor paid 40 times earnings, he can only get 2.5% on his money…
July 31st, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
