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All Posts Tagged With: "bond"

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What’s Really in the Social Security Trust Fund?

“You’re kidding, right?” a Daily Reckoning reader wrote after our briefing from last week: “The End of Social Security As We Know It.” “Are you the only ones who believe in the accounting farces that are the Social Security and Medicare ‘Trust Funds’? Every dollar in both of those funds has been spent by the US Treasury…”

September 30th, 2010 | Ian Mathias | 4 comments | Continued
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The Legacy of the Current Recession

Epithet for a doomed economy…What will they say? How will they describe the ’00s and ’10s? Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen was accused of being drunk when he gave a “croaky” radio interview two weeks ago. He denied it. But we’d be tempted to turn to the bottle too…

September 30th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Day Care or Default?

So far, almost everything that we thought ought to happen is happening. More or less. The crisis. The feds’ reaction. The market’s lack of reaction to the feds’ over reaction. Then, the feds’ reaction to the markets failure to react. One dumb thing begets another.

September 29th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Which Way for Stocks? Bonds Give a Clue

I’ve spent a lot of time this week sitting around reading odd stuff and mulling over clues. I did find some clues in the bond market that tell us where the stock market may go next. You’ll be surprised at what these clues say. They come from a look back at history.

September 22nd, 2010 | Chris Mayer | 0 comments | Continued
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Hyperinflation and Unemployment Two Signs of Serious Trouble

John Williams, who keeps track of what is really going on in the economy at his “ShadowStats” outfit, says to expect hyperinflation within 6 to 9 months. Seems too early to us. But a major turn in the bond market and much higher inflation rates are coming. And you don’t want to be holding US bonds.

September 16th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 9 comments | Continued
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Rising Debt and the Great Market Waiting Game

In practice, free information turned out to be worth no more than people paid for it…and the dot.com revolution blew up in January 2000…leaving only a handful of survivors (who have done very well, thank you.) In our view, the stock market has been in a bear trend ever since…

September 15th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 25 comments | Continued
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Losing Faith in the Zombie-Run Government

Zombies join government because it’s a good place to work if you’re brain dead and all you can do is slouch and shuffle. The feds can earn a living without actually doing very much. Well, no one knows whether they are doing anything or not. That’s the beauty of government.

September 14th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Beware the Market Maniacs

The Fed came out with a report from its regional banks. Almost all the indicators showed a slowing economy. Not that we’re headed into a double-dip. We haven’t even gotten out of the first dip yet. Here’s Bloomberg with the news:Banks: ‘Widespread Signs of a Deceleration’ in Economy…

September 13th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Let it Be

Watch the bonds… We could be seeing the first crack in the bond market. But it seems too early to us. It seems more likely that the bond market will stretch this out…bringing more and more hapless investors on board before finally sinking. Everything takes longer than you expect.

September 9th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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The Summer the Recovery Went Missing

THE American economy is once again tilting toward danger. Despite an aggressive regimen of treatments from the conventional to the exotic – more than $800 billion in federal spending, and trillions of dollars worth of credit from the Federal Reserve – fears of a second recession are growing…

August 31st, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Hindenburg Meets Iceberg

Another week in Australia without a new government. Not bad for a Monday. The current Prime Minister is set to meet with three so-called independent members of Parliament to discuss forming a minority government. This gives us a chance to correct an error we made awhile back.”Every election is a sort of advance auction sale of stolen goods,” wrote HL Mencken. We misattributed that quote to Mark Twain, another great American wit.

August 30th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 39 comments | Continued
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Bonds vs. Tech Stocks for Bubble Supremacy

The Wall Street Journal carries an article entitled “The Great American Bond Bubble.” The authors worry that bonds have gotten themselves into a bubble similar to tech stocks in 1999. You’ll recall that back then investors were so sure new technology would pay off that they were prepared to pay astronomical prices for dizzy tech companies.

August 20th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Son of Subprime

In 2007, the writing was on the wall. The famous “perfect storm” had gathered above the US housing market, its eye hovering over subprime loans. As you know, the storm came…and it rained, and rained, and rained… Ultimately, it washed away trillions of dollars in investor wealth.

August 4th, 2010 | Addison Wiggin | 0 comments | Continued
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When Animal Spirits Attack

Growing economies…growing people…growing anything…it all requires the proper spirit of enterprise. But life is not a theory. How you feel about something is how you feel about it. It doesn’t alter what the thing is. After all, what people are willing to pay for something is part of what prices communicate, and prices vary based on an aggregation of personal preferences (another miracle of the market).

July 14th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 15 comments | Continued
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Side By Side We Stick Together

What is collateral, anyway? The Latin etymology suggests it is something standing side by side with something else, like Collingwood fans sticking together to defend the Magpie name. But in the financial world, we take collateral to mean property, or something equivalent, deposited with a creditor to guarantee the repayment of a debt. The collateral gives the lender security against the risk that the borrower is unable to repay.

July 13th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 12 comments | Continued
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