Just to recap, government borrowing draws away capital from businesses that might use it to invest in productive projects that generate a real return. What you get in return is higher debt, probably higher interest rates, and people who’ve never really had to earn a paycheck or meet a payroll deciding how to allocate capital. And you still think it’s a good idea?
October 1st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "commercial real estate"
We Don’t Expect to See Australian Banks Suddenly Keen to Expand their Loan Books
Maybe this will sound like a bunch of whining by the end of the week. After all, three of the big four Aussie banks will report results this week. There will be billion dollar cash profit figures tossed around. But as we said last week, the earnings performance of financial firms in the last six months is a sham.
September 28th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
How Did Australia Get Caught Up Losing Money in Commercial U.S. Real Estate?
In yesterday’s Age, Bwembya Chikolwa, a lecturer in the School of Urban Development at Queensland University of Technology, says Aussie super funds had money to burn…
September 1st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
Paying Attention to the Risk from Deleveraging in Commercial Real Estate
Standard & Poor’s is preparing to downgrade some $235.2 billion of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), according to our friend Dan Ferris. When these downgrades occur, the banks and insurance companies that own this paper are going to have a big problem,” Dan says. “Prices are already down around 25% in the past year.”
June 30th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 13 comments | Continued
Were the Government’s Stress Tests a Bogus Exercise in Deception?
Here we go again. Australia’s Federal budget-revealing glorious new deficit, is coming is coming next week. But this week will be all about tomorrow’s Reserve Bank meeting and today’s house price data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
May 4th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Government Preparing Another Stimulus
So what gives, why is there a huge difference between the seasonally adjusted figures and the original data series? If you look just at the original data series you’ll see that retail turnover has declined 32.1% in original terms from $24.7 billion in December of 2008 to $16.6 billion in February of 2009.That would be headline news!
April 2nd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Commercial Real Estate May Be the Next to Fall
On November 19, bonds and stocks backed by commercial real estate loans plummeted on investors’ fears the struggling U.S. economy might lead to a wave of defaults. Big real estate companies suffered big losses: shares of Simon Property Group, the top U.S. mall operator, declined 13%; Boston Properties Inc., owner of skyscrapers and office buildings in key U.S. markets, fell 12.1%…
December 3rd, 2008 | Oliver Garret | 3 comments | Continued