ANZ is shedding jobs. Manufacturers, retailers, and banks are all laying off employees. Is there a general conclusion you can reach from those specific observations? The answer is “yes”. The common thread to all these job layoffs is the end of double-digit credit expansion in the Australian economy.
February 14th, 2012 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "credit boom"
On the Edge of Evolution: An Investment Story in Three Acts
Today’s story is how the investment world you live in came to be…and how we’re on the edge of a great leap forward…or a great leap into a deep abyss. If you don’t have time to read it, go over to Facebook and tell everyone you’re too busy to read about the most important investment story of your life.
February 1st, 2012 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Australia’s Place in the World of Debt – An Each-Way Bet On The 21st Century
Australian government debt (Federal) crossed the $200 billion barrier last year. In a few short years, then, the government has gone from a modest $20 billion surplus to a $200 billion debt. That debt is still small as percentage of GDP compared to the US, Japan, and the UK. But it’s a lot larger than it was a few years ago…and once these things get rolling, they have a way of building momentum.
January 25th, 2012 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
Why Low Interest Rates are Bad for the Economy
A year ago, the RBA and the horde of market economists who hang on its every word expected interest rates to be higher by now. Even as late as September 2011 the RBA was sitting on its hands, unsure which way to move.
January 20th, 2012 | Greg Canavan | 4 comments | Continued
How Reinvested Dividends Can Double Your Return in Stocks
With the big four banks – traditionally high dividend players – being downgraded by Standard and Poor’s overnight, we thought it was a great time to revisit why dividends are important and how to safely buy the companies that issue them.
December 5th, 2011 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Why Should You Be Focussed on Dividends?
Suddenly dividends start to look enticing. Actually, it’s not sudden at all. Investors take a while to realise the bull market is long gone. It’s been just on four years since the market peaked back in November 2007 and we’d guess there are plenty of punters who think the next bull market is just around the corner. Maybe they think we turned that corner today?
December 1st, 2011 | Greg Canavan | 1 comment | Continued
Why Reinvested Dividends Are Crucial Investments in the Next Ten Years
It’s the sort of boring fact that the investment industry doesn’t generally alert you to. And to be fair, it’s not very exciting. At all. But it does appear to be true, at least up to about 2003, that reinvested dividends massively increase your total return in common stocks over time.
November 30th, 2011 | The Daily Reckoning | 1 comment | Continued
China’s Economic Boom Turns to Bust
Allow us to make some introductions. China – meet the dark side of the boom. Dark side of the boom – meet China.
At some point in November, China’s economy looks to have crossed the threshold from boom to bust. It seems to have happened so quickly.
November 24th, 2011 | Greg Canavan | 0 comments | Continued
Debt to GDP Ratio Will Return to Normal
He writes that, “During the credit boom, from 1995 to 2007, the debt-to-GDP ratio rose quite a lot, to all-time record levels, eclipsing the 1920s by considerable margins.
September 11th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Financial World Has Every Reason to Encourage Government Stimulus
Besides, the limits on executive compensation are window-dressing for public (voter) consumption. With bonuses limited by statute, we reckon more compensation for the financial industry will move back to stock option grants. That means for the financial industry to preserve its privileged status, stock prices have to move higher.
September 8th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Property Sector Has Seen the Value of its Assets Wiped Out
The “wipeout” in the sector was especially bad news for Babcock & Brown, Rubicon Asset Management, and Record Funds Management. These heavily leveraged firms didn’t survive the steep rise in global borrowing costs. It didn’t help that asset values began tumbling when the leveraged dried up.
August 17th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
The Cash Flows Are Coming
National governments are demanding a larger portion of global savings. Government welfare transfer schemes and bailouts have to be funded from borrowing (unless from money printing), which also makes capital harder for private companies to get. Corporate cash flows will revert to the mean in the absence of huge infusions of credit to finance the growth of the balance sheet.
August 10th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 13 comments | Continued
