The trouble with a sovereign debt crisis is that you just never know what the tipping point is going to be. Things can be travelling along nicely with apparent stability and suddenly you find yourself in the middle of a crisis. For the last month we’ve been warning about a sovereign debt crisis in the Western Welfare states.
November 27th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 17 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "fed"
Recession is Over, Welcome Back to the Depression
As we pointed out yesterday, the US economy has already suffered a lost decade. No employment growth in the last ten years. No gains in the stock market.
November 26th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 4 comments | Continued
The Final Blow-out Phase of the Gold Bull Market?
Of course, we don’t know any more than any other human being knows. But we’ve been watching Mr. Market for a long time. And we’ve come to the conclusion that he’s an SOB.
November 25th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
More Quantitative Easing by Fed has Markets Spooked About Inflation
Bullard said, that, “If the economy came in very weak, let’s say, in 2010, weaker than expected, we would have the option of doing further quantitative easing.” The Fed would do this through additional asset purchases, presumably with more, uh, “money” it created.
November 24th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 43 comments | Continued
$2,000 Gold Prediction
The weekend edition of the Australian Financial Review has gold on the cover, incidentally. You can see a picture of it a few paragraphs down. Underneath the giant golden letters it reads, “Why you shouldn’t laugh about gold hitting $US2000 an oz.” But if anyone’s laughing, it’s a nervous laughter.
November 16th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
Finding Assets that Out Run Inflation as Bond Yields Move Up
The week began with your editor wondering how the bond market would choke down another $81 billion in U.S. Treasury debt. On Monday, it swallowed $40 billion in three-year notes with gusto, and even belched in satisfaction. Demand, analysts said, hadn’t been that strong since 1990-when the bond vigilantes used the bond market as a weapon to discipline government spending.
November 13th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Major Premise That Government Economists Can Improve Workings of a Free Economy
That leads people to believe that the feds have pulled off a save…they’ve now got the economy well along on the road to recovery…the recovery is getting stronger as time goes by…
November 12th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
Hidden Inventory of Unsold Houses Will Depress Housing Prices
“Dad, I’ve got a good tenant in there. Besides, it’s not in very good shape. I’d rather sell it than invest more money in it. And there are so many places on the market, I can rent something better…
November 11th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Bankers Take Money From the Government and Use it to Speculate
Most people find it both galling and absurd to see the bankers getting $10 million bonuses while there is 10% unemployment. Here at The Daily Reckoning, it’s just a matter of curiosity.
November 11th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 10 comments | Continued
The Fed Has Put a Rocket Under the Market
The unconventional wisdom is that the Fed has learned nothing from the last bubble – or is so scared of deflation it’s willing to gamble on another bubble in asset prices. The trouble , the eventual bust in asset prices has to be reckoned up. And the Fed, along with all central banks who key off the Fed’s policy, are just kicking the can down the road, hoping asset values improve.
November 10th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
We Can Expect More and More People to Want to Own Gold
Gold seems to be advancing towards a new milestone – $1,100. Makes us nervous. We always feel more comfortable out in the wide, open spaces…
November 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Stocks, Bonds and Economy All Bounce
And if we’re following the Japanese experience, with a long, slow on-again/off-again period of depression, we can expect some quarters of growth, followed by quarters of non-growth.
November 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
U.S. Treasury Auctioning Off $81 Billion in New Debt
You have to wonder who is willing to loan money to the United States government – given the state of its fiscal and monetary policies – for thirty years at below 5%.
November 9th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Historically, the Only Reserve a Central Bank Can Trust is Gold
Imagine what would have happened if pharaoh had stocked up on radicchio instead of grain? Those 7 lean years would have been a lot leaner than they were.
November 6th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 3 comments | Continued
More Money in Cash Right Now Than Equity in U.S. Companies
Now, there is a very good reason investors are reducing their allocation to stocks. As we’ve said before, we think the equity premium – what people are willing to pay for stocks – is regressing to the mean. It was so high for so long because corporate cash flows in the second half of the last century benefitted so much from low interest rates and globalisation.
November 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 15 comments | Continued
