Why would gold go down so much? Because people are finally realizing that deflation is the real risk, not inflation. Gold could continue to slip and slide for a long time now… It’s hard to say. It can rise in a deflation. But it depends on how volatile and uncertain the markets appear. In a stable, Japanese-style slump, gold could go down and stay down for many years.
July 5th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 3 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "g20"
Coco vs the Trifecta of Trouble
So stimulus steals from the long run. But does austerity pay? The German politicians think so. Their argument is that the private sector gets insecure about uncertainty and an unsustainable government debt makes the consumer uncertain. Especially any German consumer with a long memory and an eye on the ECB. Are they right? Does austerity pay off?
July 3rd, 2010 | Nickolai Hubble | 1 comment | Continued
G20 Meddlers At It Again
And even this modest goal presumes that economies are able to grow faster than their debt – in real terms. When you get debt equal to 100% of GDP, you’re over a barrel. If interest rates were to return to the double digit levels of the ’70s, it could cost more than 10% of GDP just to pay the interest.
June 30th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
G20, Airlines and Transport
But don’t worry, boys, sometimes failure is the best you can hope for. And come to think of it…defeat is not so bad. Think how much better off the Chinese would have been if Mao’s long march had ended in the total collapse of his army. And suppose George W. Bush hadn’t been such a total failure? People might not have elected Barack Obama.
June 29th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Phony Choices from a Bogus Profession
Several things have become obvious: first, a ‘recovery’ is not going to happen; second, after 60 years of credit expansion, the world has entered a long period of financial adjustment and debt destruction; third, most economists should be put to work picking up trash along national highways. Not that they would do a very good job of it,
June 28th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Vandalism vs Keynesianism
With short-term real interest rates on U.S. government bonds effectively negative, we’ve wondered lately why so many people complain that gold doesn’t have a yield (either). But it’s true. It doesn’t. It just sits there looking pretty and yellow and heavy – preserving value and capital better than other kinds of money in which you can choose to denominate your wealth.
June 28th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
Getting Begotten
Who begat Hungary? North American markets tanked on Friday on a double barrel of strange and disappointing news. First was a comment from a spokesman for the Hungarian president that the country faced a “grave” economic situation. Debt begat that.
But the 3.15% fall in the Dow Jones Industrials and the 3.44% fall in the S&P 500 were generally blamed on a disappointing U.S. jobs report.
All Quiet on the Fronts
One thing to keep your eye on is the G-20 finance ministers in Busan, South Korea this weekend. They will get together and agree to do nothing urgent. The one thing they will definitely NOT be doing is raising interest rates. They are too creeped out about a sovereign debt crisis in Europe leading to another liquidity crisis, according to Bloomberg.
June 4th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 11 comments | Continued
What Evil Sends Investors Running to the Protection of Gold?
The press attributed this week’s rise in gold to benign causes. The end of the world seems to have been postponed – indefinitely. Bloomberg reported that a clear majority of those polled thought the world economy was recovering.
September 14th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
The Bubble Deniers Deny that Their Own Stimulus Caused it
In the non-communist world, if a man had money and no bread, he exchanged the former for the latter…and sat down to dinner. As if guided by an ‘invisible hand,’ millions of people did the same thing. Everyone tried to get a bit more grease on his plate, by making his own decisions based on the facts before him.
July 20th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 9 comments | Continued
IMF Deems Gold An Idle Asset
The World Bank – which is a total failure, which is explained by it being a ludicrous clot of communists and socialists – never saw economic tragedy coming, either, and estimates that “over 90 million people may be pushed into poverty in the global economic turmoil.”
April 28th, 2009 | Mogambo Guru | 0 comments | Continued
Jim Cramer Says The Depression is Over
But as far as we can tell, the rally is still underway. The G20 meeting is widely seen as a triumph. The money is flowing. People think we’ve seen the bottom.
April 8th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 3 comments | Continued
Is the Technical Rebound Over Already?
” Most of the market players who made quick and decent money during the past few weeks do not believe in a deep reversal trend on the markets,” Gabriel wrote. “They just took advantage of a technical rebound that already drove the S&P/ASX 200 twenty percent higher than the lows posted early March.
April 7th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Economy Not As Bad As Expected
The world is NOT going to Hell in a handcart. After a long time spent in the handcart, it is finally getting out and standing on its two feet. Americans are beginning to save again. The Chinese are beginning to look for other places to sell their gadgets and paraphernalia.
April 3rd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
G20 Was About Big Government Getting Bigger
“Governments know only one way of holding back recession. What do you suppose it is? Yes, the only solution they can think of is to continue the inflation. The ‘boom’ is regenerated with more bank credit and government subsidies. Companies appear to come to life again.”
April 3rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued


