To understand what’s taking place in China today, we need to rewind the clock about a decade. At that time the Chinese government chose a policy of growth at any cost.
March 2nd, 2010 | Vitaliy N. Katsenelson | 10 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "gdp"
Statistical Models Can’t Predict the Future
But we do know that financial markets are getting more volatile in recent years, not less. Is it globalization? Is it the digitalization of trading data and continuous, algorithmic trading models? Does the pursuit of an informational advantage (or the belief that one is possible) drive people to trade more?
March 2nd, 2010 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Economy of China to Decelerate?
But there are plenty of sceptics on the China story already. Our old friend Marc Faber told Bloomberg that, “It does not make sense for China to build more empty buildings and add to capacities in industries…
February 24th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
Michael Pascoe and the Snarky Disinformation About Gold
Speaking of value, let us now return to the question of element number 79 on the periodic table. The snarky article we mentioned at the top is this one from Michael Pascoe at the age, titled “There’s more gold where that came from.”
In the article Pascoe takes on the issue of “peak gold.” But how well has he done in accurately stating the argument for gold?
December 16th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 28 comments | Continued
Ratings Agencies Picking on the Greeks
That the Greeks are in trouble is hardly breaking news, of course… Heck, even those geniuses at the ratings agencies had time to figure it out!
December 10th, 2009 | Joel Bowman | 1 comment | Continued
Greek Banks Playing the Carry Trade and Investing in Government Bonds
Another day, another country looks to be heading towards bankruptcy.
Greece was last night downgraded by ratings agency Fitch from A- to BBB+ and was placed on negative credit watch. That means there could be more downgrades to come.
The Greek budget deficit is currently 12% of GDP.
December 9th, 2009 | Murray Dawes | 3 comments | Continued
Dubai, the Financial Center Built on Sand
No on is sure what is going on. Most people take from this story what we knew all along: lending to shady characters in sunny places is not an easy way to make money.
December 1st, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Are Aussie House Prices in a Bubble?
First off, house prices are still rising in Australia, but for the second month in a row sales are falling. Here in Melbourne, the average house price is now $510,000 according to the RP Data Index. Melbourne prices are up 15% since January. Granted, that’s not quite as good as the stock market this year. The All Ords is up nearly 30% year to date. But it’s not bad for houses is it?
December 1st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 103 comments | Continued
Only Thing Rising Faster than Demand for Government Debt is Supply of It
All major governments of the West – and Japan – are now borrowing as if their lives depended on it.
November 30th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Dollar Rally the Sort of Thing that Will Lead to Correction in Gold Price
House prices were up 6.2% in the third quarter over the same time last year, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. House prices in the capital cities are surging. Stocks are surging. Gold and oil are surging.
November 17th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
Gorbachev and the Most Complete Test in Economic History
Readers may know Mikhail Gorbachev as a fellow who advertises Louis Vuitton luggage. But before he made it big as a mannequin, he was the top man in the Soviet Union. It was not an easy job.
November 16th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 6 comments | Continued
$2,000 Gold Prediction
The weekend edition of the Australian Financial Review has gold on the cover, incidentally. You can see a picture of it a few paragraphs down. Underneath the giant golden letters it reads, “Why you shouldn’t laugh about gold hitting $US2000 an oz.” But if anyone’s laughing, it’s a nervous laughter.
November 16th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
Japan and its Economy Did Not Have Secret to Everlasting Success
Let’s see, in the 1980s Japan’s corporate leaders thought they were going to take over the world. Investors thought so too. They expanded. They wheeled. They dealed. Prices shot up and they all thought they were geniuses.
November 13th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 13 comments | Continued
Major Premise That Government Economists Can Improve Workings of a Free Economy
That leads people to believe that the feds have pulled off a save…they’ve now got the economy well along on the road to recovery…the recovery is getting stronger as time goes by…
November 12th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
We Can Expect More and More People to Want to Own Gold
Gold seems to be advancing towards a new milestone – $1,100. Makes us nervous. We always feel more comfortable out in the wide, open spaces…
November 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
