Occasionally we receive comments along the lines of ‘you try to push the market lower’ or ‘talk the market down’. Some mistake our realism for grumpiness. Or assume we just don’t like it when the stock market goes up. While flattering, we must admit we have no control over the stock market whatsoever.
February 9th, 2012 | The Daily Reckoning | 0 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "GFC"
Not the End of the Greek Sovereign Debt Crisis
One key is whether the faux resolution of the Greek crisis will lead to rising sovereign bond yields. This might seem counterintuitive. If Greece is less risky and volatile, shouldn’t bond yields fall? Maybe not. If investors think the sovereign debt crisis is over, they may shift out of supposedly risk-averse assets like bonds and into equities. This would argue – in the very short term – for higher highs on the indices.
April 13th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
Long-term Unemployment a Structural Shift in Nature of American Economy
…did you notice that nearly 45% of America’s 15 million unemployed have been out of a job for over six months?
April 8th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
If People Feel Good About the Economy then the Economy Must Be Good Itself
Stock markets are fixing to make their highest highs since September of 2008. The Dow nearly closed at a post-Lehman high of 11,000 overnight in New York trading. And here in Australia, the ASX/200 looks to break out of a long channel of indecisiveness and close above 5,000.
Surely those numbers indicate that people feel good about the economy.
April 6th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
Reader Mail on Housing, Australia, Industry and Family
We interrupt your regularly scheduled Daily Reckoning to bring you some views and comments from Daily Reckoning readers all over Australia. When we started the DR Australia in 2005 (your editor was in London at the time, but secured the services of one Kris Sayce) it was a letter without any readers…
March 31st, 2010 | Dan Denning | 29 comments | Continued
Economy of China to Decelerate?
But there are plenty of sceptics on the China story already. Our old friend Marc Faber told Bloomberg that, “It does not make sense for China to build more empty buildings and add to capacities in industries…
February 24th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
The Trouble With a Sovereign Debt Crisis
The trouble with a sovereign debt crisis is that you just never know what the tipping point is going to be. Things can be travelling along nicely with apparent stability and suddenly you find yourself in the middle of a crisis. For the last month we’ve been warning about a sovereign debt crisis in the Western Welfare states.
November 27th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 17 comments | Continued
Bond Scam Perpetrated by Money-grubbing Government
So how does a government fund its spending programs if global creditors begin to turn to other assets? Well, it can have its own central bank “monetise the debt.” But having the central bank buy government bonds with new money is a sure-fire path to currency depreciation and higher interest rates.
November 23rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Your Average Australian Super Fund
Is it down 0.8% for the year (since January) or in the last twelve months? Or is the average super fund down 0.8% from its all-time high? The average super fund fell 21% from its heights to its lows during the GFC. But the Aussie market has rallied 55% this year.
So does this mean super has done well? Average? Above average?
November 9th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 14 comments | Continued
U.S. Government Must Roll Over $3.4 Trillion in Debt Over Next Four Years
And if America can’t find anyone willing to finance its deficits, what then? Well, the luxury of issuing debts in the currency you also print is that you can print money to pay for them. Technically, you can never become insolvent when you enjoy this privilege. The Fed, for example, can create new money to buy debt issued by the Treasury, funding deficits ad infinitum.
November 3rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
IMF Report Concludes Aussie Banks are “Very Sound”…
The Guv also said he would not be too timid about raising interest rates. He believes the threat [of global financial calamity] has passed and that the bigger threat may well be inflation. That kind of tough talk sent the Aussie dollar right up to over 92 cents against the greenback. If it weren’t late fall, now might be the perfect time to take a trip to America and see how cheap things really are.
October 16th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 13 comments | Continued
Dr. Michael Hudson On Landlords and Bankers in Charge of the Economy Again
Regrettably, your editor was back at the doctor’s office early this morning being diagnosed with tonsillitis after a lousy night. We were especially disappointed because scheduled for today was a noon lunch with Dr. Michael Hudson. His tour of the country is being sponsored by Prosper Australia and tonight at the Melbourne Town Hall at 6:30 Dr. Hudson and Dr. Steve Keen will be “lifting the lid on the GFC.”
October 14th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 17 comments | Continued
Is it Possible China’s Steel Industry Has Excess Productive Capacity?
“China’s steel output has taken up 48% of the world’s total in the H1 of this year, further exacerbates the oversupply picture and hurts the healthy industrial development. And Mr Roland Verstappen vice president of ArcelorMittal also said steel overcapacity is quite clear in China and which will press down steel prices, sweep smaller mills out of the market and causes unemployment.”
August 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
