Now, there is a very good reason investors are reducing their allocation to stocks. As we’ve said before, we think the equity premium – what people are willing to pay for stocks – is regressing to the mean. It was so high for so long because corporate cash flows in the second half of the last century benefitted so much from low interest rates and globalisation.
November 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 15 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "Gold Standard Institute"
Banks Could Face Larger Asset Writedowns and Losses than IMF has Modelled
Next time around, though, we reckon the losses – when they come – will be on domestic real estate assets. And with so much exposure to domestic real estate (mortgage loans), the assets could face a world of hurt. But even if bank asset quality doesn’t crash (housing prices don’t crash), an external shock affects Aussie bank liabilities.
October 28th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Arable Farmland More Precious Than Gold
There is another candidate for “largest Chinese investment in Australia ever.” But this time, it involves an asset that is arguably more strategic than oil and more precious than gold. But before we get to that little drama in the Australian share market (and the five-year opportunity it represents), spare a thought for gold.
September 29th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 13 comments | Continued
