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All Posts Tagged With: "goldman sachs"

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Aren’t You the Least Bit Suspicious that Goldman is Talking Up the Banks?

Goldman Sachs has raised its rating on large banks to “attractive.” In related news, Neal Barofsky, the special inspector general for the Troubled Asset Relief Program has said that the Feds may have, er, not quite told the truth about the health of the banks receiving TARP funds. He didn’t use the word, lie though. How are these two items related? We’ll explain below.

October 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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Have the Chinese Stopped Industrial Stockpiling of Raw Materials?

Speaking of losing and just what’s at stake as September begins, why don’t we start with where the entire global recovery – and Australia’s resilience – are supposed to reside: Chinese strength. The Shanghai Composite fells 6.7% overnight and is now down over 25% from its highs. Uh oh.

September 1st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
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Is it Possible China’s Steel Industry Has Excess Productive Capacity?

“China’s steel output has taken up 48% of the world’s total in the H1 of this year, further exacerbates the oversupply picture and hurts the healthy industrial development. And Mr Roland Verstappen vice president of ArcelorMittal also said steel overcapacity is quite clear in China and which will press down steel prices, sweep smaller mills out of the market and causes unemployment.”

August 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 8 comments | Continued
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JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Making Billions in Profits

But here at The Daily Reckoning, we can’t help ourselves. If we see a silver lining, we look for the cloud. We see garbage…we look for the rat… We begin with the JPMorgan profit announcement, because it is the most intriguing. Let us set the stage…

July 20th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 9 comments | Continued
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Meredith Whitney and the Buy Recommendation on Goldman Sachs

Hold that thought. Her recommendation preceded Goldman’s actual announcement on Tuesday that second quarter net earnings were up 65% to $3.44 billion. The company, like Wall Street’s very own chosen-one-boy-wizard, has once again waved its magic wand and produced something remarkable. So let’s remark on it…

July 15th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
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Sell China and Buy Goldman Sachs

If that’s the case, then it would be time to sell commodities and buy Goldman, or at least time to sell commodities. A collapsing Chinese credit bubble would remove a lot of the demand and price support for Australian commodities (especially coking coal and iron ore).

July 14th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 24 comments | Continued
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Dividends and a Sea Change in Corporate Behaviour Toward Shareholders

Maybe we’re getting ahead of ourselves with the idea that Aussie companies will begin boosting dividends to attract shareholders. After all, Bloomberg reports that Aussie firms tapped the equity markets for over $90 billion in capital in the last fiscal year. It’s what you do when you’re rebuilding your balance sheet and paring back debt.

July 8th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
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Central Bankers Encourage Debt Booms That Become Debt Bombs

Do you think maybe Dr. Bernanke is just trying to talk his book too? After all, the U.S. Treasury has heaps of debt to sell this year (gross issuance over $3.25 trillion according to Goldman). If Dr. Bernanke makes adult sounds come out of his mouth, it might give people the impression the U.S. is returning to sobriety and fiscal sensibility.

June 5th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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U.S. Bond Prices Rose and Yields Fell

Our guess is that it’s going to be 100% of GDP by the halfway point of Obama’s term as President. For this week, however, the new wave of Treasuries sent in to battle deflation, recession, and capitalism itself seem to have stemmed the advance of bond yields. Victory! Viva Obama! Viva Bernanke! Viva la deficit! Viva el dollar!

May 29th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 26 comments | Continued
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U.S. Trying to Auction Off $162 Billion in Debt

“The US is not alone in facing a deficit crisis,” reports the U.K.’s Telegraph. “Governments worldwide have to raise some $6 trillion in debt this year, with huge demands in Japan and Europe. Kyle Bass from the US fund Hayman Advisors said the markets were ‘choking on debt’”.

May 27th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
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China Performs a Kind of Financial Alchemy

“Chinese industrial output fell for four months between July and November, but has since recovered all those losses. A similar pattern has been seen in Korea, where industrial output suffered a sharp decline around year end but apparently made up about half of that over February and March.

May 19th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 10 comments | Continued
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Suspicion the Service Sector Consumer Spending Series is Overstated

If we compare consumer spending on services with hours worked in the service sector employment report, we find a huge surge in implied service sector productivity.

May 14th, 2009 | Rob Parenteau | 0 comments | Continued
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Citi Reports $4.69 Billion in Fixed Income Trading

So the banks have returned to profitability have they? That was the theme on the market last week. And if it were true, a recovery in bank balance sheets is just the sort of thing that might precede a recovery in the economy. But it probably isn’t true. Here’s why…

April 20th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 22 comments | Continued
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Begging the Question: Recovery to What?

Does it mean that American “consumers” (so-called) are awaited momentarily in the flat-screen TV sales parlors with their credit cards fanned-out like poker hands, ready for “action?” Not too likely with massive non-performance out in cardholder-land, and half the nation’s electronics inventory wending its way onto Craig’s List.

April 17th, 2009 | James Howard Kunstler | 29 comments | Continued
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Traders Sell Bank Stocks Due to Goldman Sachs Surprise

What we wonder is why Goldman needed to be made whole at all if its exposure to AIG was hedged? And why did Goldman get paid US$14 billion for its securities when the market value was around $8 billion?

April 15th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 36 comments | Continued
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