Now, there is a very good reason investors are reducing their allocation to stocks. As we’ve said before, we think the equity premium – what people are willing to pay for stocks – is regressing to the mean. It was so high for so long because corporate cash flows in the second half of the last century benefitted so much from low interest rates and globalisation.
November 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 12 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "inflation"
Interest Rates and Inflation
And that’s the point. It is all money in the bank. There is, according to the press, a difference of opinion between Treasury and the Reserve Bank over interest rates and their proper direction.
November 3rd, 2009 | Dr. Steven Kates | 66 comments | Continued
Inflation is Evident If You Just Follow the Money
One quick note about this: there is obviously plenty of inflation in the prices you pay every day. But most consumer price indices are rigged to understate inflation, as our colleague David Evans pointed out yesterday in Canberra at the Gold Standard Institute conference in Canberra. Trimmed medians…hedonic adjustments…
November 2nd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Everything Was Looking Up With the Baby Boomers
Ok, Bill, let’s review those wonderful days from whence we sprang, so fraught with the advantages of having nothing. So potent with opportunity. It was the middle of the ’70s…
October 28th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 26 comments | Continued
Bankers Betting That the Money Given by Feds Will Be Worth Less Next Year
So far the bet has gone their way. Copper has doubled. Gold is up 20%. Stocks markets all over the world are up 60%. Foreign currencies, too, have beaten the dollar.
October 27th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
Bear Market Bounce a Sure Thing
Well, we’re still not there. But an analyst from Morgan Stanley tells us that markets tend to do better than that. The typical bounce is about 70%, says he.
October 26th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Biggest Factor Affecting Consumer Price Inflation is Growth in Bank Credit
Much will be revealed this week in the Aussie market, although a lot will probably remain obscure too. Producer price data for the September quarter comes out from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Inflation anyone? Maybe not in wages. But certainly in raw materials (energy).
October 26th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
Stocks Better than Bonds When Inflation is a Big Threat
What we make of it is that dividends used to account for a much larger percentage of your total return in stocks than they have in the last twenty years. Times change. There’s no rule that says the future has to be just like the past. But if stocks beat inflation, should you invest in stocks for income or capital appreciation? That’s the second question.
October 19th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Gold is in a Bull Market
“In the last big boom in gold – in the late ’70s – gold followed inflation…and the central bank. Investors saw inflation increasing. And they saw the central bank failing to react fast enough. They bought gold to protect themselves.
October 15th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Dr. Michael Hudson On Landlords and Bankers in Charge of the Economy Again
Regrettably, your editor was back at the doctor’s office early this morning being diagnosed with tonsillitis after a lousy night. We were especially disappointed because scheduled for today was a noon lunch with Dr. Michael Hudson. His tour of the country is being sponsored by Prosper Australia and tonight at the Melbourne Town Hall at 6:30 Dr. Hudson and Dr. Steve Keen will be “lifting the lid on the GFC.”
October 14th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 17 comments | Continued