When a blind mathematician exits the market because an ominous technical omen indicates a crash ahead, what do you make of it? Last week the whole internet was abuzz with the phrase “The Hindenburg Omen.” The “Omen” is actually a convergence of technical and momentum indicators which, when sighted, usually leads to a big market correction. Its creator Jim Miekka has used it to forecast major market tipping points.
August 24th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 18 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "Kevin Rudd"
To Trade the Resources Rent Tax or Not?
Let’s leave off with the underlying economic debate about the resource rent tax and talk about the market. It’s getting shellacked. Our colleagues Kris Sayce and Alex Cowie are finding many of the positions they’ve recommend in their publications since the March lows are declining and hitting suggested trailing stop levels.
May 5th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
Talk of Chinese Property Investors Bidding Up Australian Property Prices
Having our flagship resources industry rely on foreign credit and politically driven Chinese demand is unstable enough. Now our house prices rely on them as well!
April 4th, 2010 | Nickolai Hubble | 9 comments | Continued
Bond Scam Perpetrated by Money-grubbing Government
So how does a government fund its spending programs if global creditors begin to turn to other assets? Well, it can have its own central bank “monetise the debt.” But having the central bank buy government bonds with new money is a sure-fire path to currency depreciation and higher interest rates.
November 23rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Government Stimulus Programs Make Life Harder For Banks
Just to recap, government borrowing draws away capital from businesses that might use it to invest in productive projects that generate a real return. What you get in return is higher debt, probably higher interest rates, and people who’ve never really had to earn a paycheck or meet a payroll deciding how to allocate capital. And you still think it’s a good idea?
October 1st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
We Don’t Expect to See Australian Banks Suddenly Keen to Expand their Loan Books
Maybe this will sound like a bunch of whining by the end of the week. After all, three of the big four Aussie banks will report results this week. There will be billion dollar cash profit figures tossed around. But as we said last week, the earnings performance of financial firms in the last six months is a sham.
September 28th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
Financial World Has Every Reason to Encourage Government Stimulus
Besides, the limits on executive compensation are window-dressing for public (voter) consumption. With bonuses limited by statute, we reckon more compensation for the financial industry will move back to stock option grants. That means for the financial industry to preserve its privileged status, stock prices have to move higher.
September 8th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Attack of the Bond Yields
Just to be clear though, the big trends now are soaring inflation and falling financial asset prices, along with increased energy scarcity. This produces a variety of pair trades, which include: short government bonds, long energy, short residential housing, long gold, and probably short commercial real estate and corporate bonds as well, while going long farmland and agriculture.
June 11th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Is Kevin Rudd Planning to Steal Your Superannuation and Bankrupt Your Retirement?
Is Kevin Rudd coming for YOUR retirement cash? The next logical step is for the government to grab the superannuation balances of all working Australians. Read on…
May 19th, 2009 | Kris Sayce | 34 comments | Continued
The Big Question: What is the Aussie Gold Price Doing?
Speaking of gold, the U.S. gold price jumped up $14.10 to trade back over $900 again. It was the first time old yeller metal has traded there in three weeks. The World Gold Council reported that inflows of gold into exchange traded funds were 456 tonnes for the first quarter of the year. That compared to 321 tonnes for all of last year. ETF demand for gold is definitely one of the short-term drivers of the gold price…
April 24th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Australia Ponders its Chinese Future
Let’s take a break from the great housing debate today and return to markets. What a day it was! Gordon Brown is ridiculed in the European Parliament as a U.K. bond auction fails. The U.S. Treasury Secretary is forced to consider a Chinese proposal for a new reserve currency that is not the greenback.
March 26th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
Geithner and His Toxic Asset Bailout Plan
Here we go again. Maybe this will be the week that historians look back on and say, “That’s when it all started to get better. Geithner came out with his toxic asset bailout plan. China stimulated. Stock markets bottomed. The crisis ended and the world got better and better forever and ever.”
March 23rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
The Path Towards Rampant Inflation
This weekend I’ll republish an article that I wrote for Daily Reckoning readers on Tuesday… It isn’t a four-letter word uttered by Prime Minister Kevin Rudd on TV at the weekend that continues to get everyone in a tizz. Instead it’s four-little-words that everyone is rushing to embrace. Words that define the resurgence of a failed and discredited economic theory…
March 14th, 2009 | Kris Sayce | 0 comments | Continued
The Path Towards Rampant Inflation
And unfortunately, each idea leads us down the same path. It is the path towards rampant inflation. Many times in recent months I have written to Money Morning subscribers about the threat of inflation (you can read some of those thoughts in the essay below). Each time we write about it we think “That’s all there is to write about, policy makers couldn’t possibly make things worse.”
March 11th, 2009 | Kris Sayce | 2 comments | Continued
Planet Death Star
Kevin Rudd is headed over to America next month to speak with Barrack Obama about climate change, the global financial system, and others ways to save the world and improve on human nature. Perhaps he might ask him if America’s US$1.75 trillion annual deficit for next year should cause global investors to worry about America’s credit quality.
February 27th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
