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All Posts Tagged With: "monetary policy"

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The Next Bubble in China’s Economy

We’ve battled this argument before, so we apologise if we repeat ourselves. But it needs to be said because the mainstream media continues to talk gibberish about China’s economy. This is the argument: a falling inflation rate in China allows the authorities to ease monetary policy to avert a hard landing.

January 13th, 2012 | Greg Canavan | 4 comments | Continued
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Come to Buenos Aires: No Cares About GDP, Debt, Monetary Policy and Good Governance

Argentina is probably the best place in the world from which to contemplate the world’s financial future. Huge errors now being made by the US and most other governments…

April 13th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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As a Wealth Survival Strategy the Stock Market is a Death Trap

You should, by our reckoning, own a small portfolio of stocks leveraged to positive Black Swans (low probability but high magnitude events that drive a share price higher…like the discovery of a new ore body or the development of a new drug). These are the sort entrepreneurial ventures that will create new wealth.

March 5th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 25 comments | Continued
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Do Away With the IMF, World Bank, and Central Bank

On that note, it is worth going off on a tangent for a moment. The idea that government formed institutions can bring about free markets and globalisation is a paradox.

February 20th, 2010 | Nickolai Hubble | 0 comments | Continued
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The U.S. Dollar is Not the Euro

As the main rival (amongst paper currencies) to the dollar as a global reserve currency, the euro’s coming collapse has to, almost by definition, equal dollar strength. There just aren’t that many more liquid alternatives for large institutions and central banks.

February 19th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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Historians May Write: In Order to Save Greece, it Was Necessary to Destroy the Euro

The bigger story is that Greece hasn’t been abandoned by the rest of Europe…yet. Europe could probably leave Greece behind and preserve the integrity (such as it is) of the euro as a sound currency. But 50 years of harping on about social justice and economic harmony and humane capitalism is going to make it hard for policymakers to leave Greece to its own devices.

February 17th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 19 comments | Continued
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The Fallacy of the Fallacy of Composition

Recently, Yukio Hatoyama, the new Japanese Prime Minister, proved it again…revealing a budget deficit that must have made Paul Krugman drool. The Japanese government will spend 92.3 trillion yen next year…

January 18th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Trickle of Chinese Money into Australian Housing and Equities Small Compared to Growth in Bank Lending

Chinese bank lending surged by over US$1.35 trillion in 2009, according to Shaun Rein at Forbes. Much of that money went into stocks. And a lot of it went into Shanghai and Beijing real estate. Whether China bought itself a bubble is a very good question. One important point is that Chinese lending is based on savings…and isn’t borrowed (in U.S. fashion).

January 12th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
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Bond Market Could Crash Any Time

The US is borrowing more money than ever before – trillions more. With such a huge increase in supply, demand…and prices…it should crack, sooner or later.

January 11th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 4 comments | Continued
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It All Comes Down to Debt Again for NAB

NAB came by the bonds because it accepted them as collateral for what it described as an “interbank reverse repurchase agreement.” Got that? From what we can gather, NAB may be obligated to take on certain loan obligations of its bank partner “under certain circumstances.”

December 22nd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
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An Investor Could Have Made a Lot of Money in the ’30s

The year 1933 was one of the best years ever. Of course, the investor was well advised to take his gains off the table. Prices slipped in ’34…bounced…and then fell apart.

December 18th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
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Price of Gold Communicates U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policy is Lousy

It’s also possible that the Fed thinks a weak dollar will reduce America’s trade deficit, boost its export competitiveness, and lead to higher employment. We think this is a pipe dream. And we’re not talking about a lead pipe. We’re talking William Blake-style opium.

November 5th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
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The Dark Underbelly of Australia’s Resource Boom: Chinese Resource Demand

But when it came to resources, most analysts made an exception for the resource sector. The argument was that while everything else was floating on a sea of credit, there was a bedrock of Chinese and Indian demand for commodities which underpinned the Aussie resource market and resource share prices.

October 23rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 7 comments | Continued
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A Flawed Theory on How to Manage an Economy During a Recession

Your editor spent last night in a discussion with a querulous and drunk Aussie over the stimulus. “It looks like it worked to me,” he said. “Only world economy still growing. GDP up. We’ve got China. Looks like Ruddy and Swanny know what they’re doing. You’re just a hack. You’ve never run a country. And you’re a Yank!”

October 13th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 100 comments | Continued
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HSBC Reveals Days of the Dollar are Numbered

“Crucially, China and rising Asia have reached the point where they can no longer keep holding down their currencies to boost exports because this is causing mayhem to their own economies, stoking asset bubbles.

September 23rd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 10 comments | Continued
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