Goldman’s oil analyst Jeffrey Currie is referring to what we termed last year, “The Long Aftershock.” It refers to the 2007 oil price crash sowing the seeds for the next oil bull market. Currie says his analysis leads to the conclusion that, “By 2011, the [oil] market is back to capacity constraints…The financial crisis created a collapse in company returns which has significantly interrupted the investment phase.”
January 19th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "peak oil"
Peak Oil – The Rewards
Our story begins with “Peak Oil” – the belief that conventional production of crude has already peaked, and has already slipped into an irreversible decline.
October 29th, 2009 | Byron King | 0 comments | Continued
Peak Oil – The Risks
Yes, the worldwide total output of what we generically call “oil” has risen – slightly – in recent years. But that’s because there are increasing volumes of natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the mix…
October 28th, 2009 | Byron King | 0 comments | Continued
Supply of Conventional Crude Oil is Very Close to its Peak
Yes, various governments are now promoting alternative sources of energy and over the following years, we expect this drive to intensify.
October 27th, 2009 | Puru Saxena | 4 comments | Continued
A Look at Strategic Oil Reserves – Who’s Buying Oil?
As the US strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) approaches capacity (721.5 million barrels filled out of a total possible 727 million, and will be filled by January 2010), the federal government will fade out of the oil-buying business.
October 1st, 2009 | Marin Katusa | 0 comments | Continued
China and its Perplexing Investment Strategy
But let’s start with sovereign wealth fund of China, the China Investment Corporation (CIC). CIC was set up in 2007 with US$200 billion of China’s nearly $2 trillion foreign exchange reserves. It’s been shopping ever since, with mixed results. Last year, for example, CIC stood pat and only invested US$4.8 billion outside China.
September 3rd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Peak Oil: Supply Data Doesn’t Lie
Remember, Peak Oil doesn’t mean that we are running out of oil reserves, crude will be around for decades. However, ‘Peak Oil’ does imply that we are dangerously close to peak global oil production.
August 27th, 2009 | Puru Saxena | 3 comments | Continued
Iran Suffering from Own Version of Peak Oil
What’s going on in Iran? When the old guard starts shooting the young people, that’s not a favorable sign for the long term.
Last time Iran had a revolution, in 1979, it ushered in turmoil in the oil (and gold) markets for several years. Of course, the invasion by Iraq in 1980, and subsequent war, had something to do with it as well.
Peak Oil: What’s Next
The Peak Oil story was never about running out of oil. It was about the collapse of complex systems in a world economy faced by the prospect of no further oil-fueled growth. It was something of a shock to many that the first complex system to fail would be banking, but the process is obvious: no more growth means no more ability to pay interest on credit… end of story, as Tony Soprano used to say.
March 6th, 2009 | James Howard Kunstler | 4 comments | Continued
Circle September 26th on Your Monetary Calendar
Bankers are bankers, after all. Their product is money. But they have gold in their vaults for a reason. It was money before paper was money. So September 26th may mark the end of the orderly and coordinated management of gold sales by European Central Banks. And it may mark the beginning of a new monetary era where gold reasserts its importance as money…
January 28th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
A View from the Peak of the Global Economy
The theme of this year’s Agora Financial Investment Symposium is “View From the Peak.” The title alludes to Peak Oil, as well as peak everything else. We have 6.5 billion people on Earth, with more arriving every day. A fortunate few hundred million of us already live in the developed world. And now several billion other souls are working their way out of poverty, and that takes resources. So the world demand for everything (energy, steel, cement, food, water, you name it) is rising.
July 25th, 2008 | Byron King | 2 comments | Continued
The Iowa Floods Send America Into a Season of Hoarding
The recent Iowa floods show evidence of how the problems of weird weather (climate change) combine and ramify the problems associated with Peak Oil. In this particular case they lead to an inflection point sometime around the 2008 harvest season, which will also be our time of political harvest.
June 25th, 2008 | James Howard Kunstler | 8 comments | Continued
Pemex and Mexican Peak Oil Equal Expensive Oil
Pemex better start exploring for more oil in the Gulf of Mexico or its going to pump out all its reserves in less than ten years. Mexico’s government has not been investing enough in exploration or new production to top off Pemex’s reserves.
April 11th, 2008 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
