John Paulsen made a fortune in the ’07-’08 period by correctly understanding the bubble in the financial sector and betting against it.
December 22nd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "stocks"
Gold and Stocks Going in the Same Direction
Here is a quick answer: no. We’re still a long way from gold’s ultimate destination. Our ‘Trade of the Decade’ was to buy gold on dips and sell stocks on rallies.
December 3rd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
What Kind of Investor is Happy to Lose Money Over 90 Days?
But there are some strange and perplexing crumbs to collect from news reports this morning. Yesterday we learned that for the first time in 70 years, yields on 90-day U.S. government securities were briefly negative. Investors – if you can call them that – were happy to loan money to the U.S. government for 90 days – and lose money.
November 25th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 20 comments | Continued
Dollar Rally the Sort of Thing that Will Lead to Correction in Gold Price
House prices were up 6.2% in the third quarter over the same time last year, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. House prices in the capital cities are surging. Stocks are surging. Gold and oil are surging.
November 17th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
Finding Assets that Out Run Inflation as Bond Yields Move Up
The week began with your editor wondering how the bond market would choke down another $81 billion in U.S. Treasury debt. On Monday, it swallowed $40 billion in three-year notes with gusto, and even belched in satisfaction. Demand, analysts said, hadn’t been that strong since 1990-when the bond vigilantes used the bond market as a weapon to discipline government spending.
November 13th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
Hidden Inventory of Unsold Houses Will Depress Housing Prices
“Dad, I’ve got a good tenant in there. Besides, it’s not in very good shape. I’d rather sell it than invest more money in it. And there are so many places on the market, I can rent something better…
November 11th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Stocks, Bonds and Economy All Bounce
And if we’re following the Japanese experience, with a long, slow on-again/off-again period of depression, we can expect some quarters of growth, followed by quarters of non-growth.
November 9th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 0 comments | Continued
Bankers Betting That the Money Given by Feds Will Be Worth Less Next Year
So far the bet has gone their way. Copper has doubled. Gold is up 20%. Stocks markets all over the world are up 60%. Foreign currencies, too, have beaten the dollar.
October 27th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
Dollar is Merely Retreating in Good Order
Remember the famous German general von Kluck, from whom we get the expression, ‘you dumb kluck?’ Von Kluck was chasing the French down the Marne in 1914. Victory looked like it was close at hand. The French were pulling back.
October 22nd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 39 comments | Continued
Stocks Better than Bonds When Inflation is a Big Threat
What we make of it is that dividends used to account for a much larger percentage of your total return in stocks than they have in the last twenty years. Times change. There’s no rule that says the future has to be just like the past. But if stocks beat inflation, should you invest in stocks for income or capital appreciation? That’s the second question.
October 19th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
Warren Buffett: People Do Not Make Money by Betting Against the US Economy
What we saw was an over-stretched empire getting ready to snap. But we were also allowing ourselves to be lazy. Rather than deconstruct the capital structure of the world’s largest economy, we decided to sell the whole damned thing.
October 12th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
Aussie Dollar Ready to Storm Past US Dollar
Yesterday’s episode of the Daily Reckoning left off with the question of whether 5,000 was in sight on the ASX 200. The answer today is that it is just over the horizon. The index closed up 2.3% to 4,695. The more investors thought about the recovery/China/demise of the dollar story, the more they liked buying stocks (especially gold stocks).
October 8th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 26 comments | Continued
Gold Doesn’t Always Need Inflation to Rise
If the feds succeed at inspiring growth without also causing higher levels of inflation, gold will be a bad place for your money – relative to stocks.
September 28th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
What Evil Sends Investors Running to the Protection of Gold?
The press attributed this week’s rise in gold to benign causes. The end of the world seems to have been postponed – indefinitely. Bloomberg reported that a clear majority of those polled thought the world economy was recovering.
September 14th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Important Financial Anniversary: Collapse of Lehman Brothers
Tomorrow is one of the most important financial anniversaries of the last 100 years. But how will investors celebrate? Or will they mourn? Or will even more of them start to buy gold, which traded at around US$1,006 in the futures markets?
September 14th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued


