The European monetary family is in crisis. It meets on March 25th and 26th to discuss whether to kick Greece off the island (survivor style) or to intervene and save the prodigal son. The problem, from a German perspective, is that Europe is full of prodigal children. To save Greece means to save the rest of the economies troubled by rising public debt-to-GDP ratios.
March 19th, 2010 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | ContinuedAll Posts Tagged With: "u.s. stocks"
A Simpleton’s Trade: Sell US Stocks and Buy Gold
Only an economist would dare to look 10 years ahead. Only a fool would put money on it. Today, we do both.
January 25th, 2010 | Bill Bonner | 19 comments | Continued
Dubai, the Financial Center Built on Sand
No on is sure what is going on. Most people take from this story what we knew all along: lending to shady characters in sunny places is not an easy way to make money.
December 1st, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
The Only Thing Really Going Down Right Now is the U.S. Dollar
Okay. Who put the financial world in a time machine and took us all back to 2007? Seriously. Oil traded above $80 overnight. Gold is hovering near $1,060. Stocks are up. Bonds are up. The Aussie dollar is up. Will anything ever go down again?
October 21st, 2009 | Dan Denning | 2 comments | Continued
Economic Cycle Theory
We began the week wondering about the cycles of history and markets. We wondered whether Australia is following the Anglo-American cycle into a long-winter…where people lose confidence in each other, in government, and in the institutions they relied on in the past for law and order, employment, and prosperity.
October 15th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 29 comments | Continued
Warren Buffett: People Do Not Make Money by Betting Against the US Economy
What we saw was an over-stretched empire getting ready to snap. But we were also allowing ourselves to be lazy. Rather than deconstruct the capital structure of the world’s largest economy, we decided to sell the whole damned thing.
October 12th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 5 comments | Continued
Americans Have No Money to Spend Because They Already Spent It!
From Florida, comes news of the first drop in population in 60 years. “Unemployment is soaring,” reports USA Today. “Florida is second to California on foreclosures.”
Yes, dear reader, there is trouble in the sand states…
September 3rd, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 1 comment | Continued
Economists Agreed the Stimulus Was Working and the Recession Was Coming to an End
We don’t know when the recession will end…but we’re dead sure that those 53 economists interviewed by Bloomberg…and those at the Fed too…don’t know either. Few of them seem to have any idea what is really going on.
August 17th, 2009 | Bill Bonner | 2 comments | Continued
When Fears of Inflation Are More Pronounced
But let us not be accused of being pessimists. Take a look at the chart below. It’s from a 2002 book called Triumph of the Optimists by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Stanton of Princeton University. It shows that over the last one hundred years-and importantly, prior to the blow-off phase of the credit bubble in 2000-dividends accounted for half of your total return in U.S. and U.K. common stocks.
July 7th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 1 comment | Continued
Fed Willing to Print Money to Buy More Bonds to Keep U.S. Interest Low
Meanwhile all sorts of mischief is afoot in financial markets and the Australian energy market. U.S. stocks fell over 1.5% in Thursday trading. The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s April meeting were published. The notes said there were “significant downside risks” to the U.S. economy and that the global financial system remains “vulnerable to further shocks.”
May 22nd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued