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All Posts Tagged With: "Wayne Swan"

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Australia’s Allowance For Corporate Tax Stupidity

Apparently, a nine-person working group set up by Treasurer Wayne Swan after the recent tax summit, has come up with this corporate tax gem – the “Allowance for Corporate Equity”.

December 7th, 2011 | Dan Denning | 3 comments | Continued
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Can Governments and Central Banks Prevent More Credit Writedowns?

Are we changing our tune, then, about what to expect from markets? Not one bit. But the question now is timing. The collapse of 2008 was so severe because of the sudden reduction in leverage in the financial sector. As assets fell in value, the most highly leveraged firms (or lenders who raised money by selling debt) went out of business.

October 12th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 34 comments | Continued
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Total Meltdown of the Aussie Housing Market

Next Wednesday will see the release of the national accounts for June. Those figures will probably show the economy being less bad than previously expected. That might lead to the end of the “emergency setting” of the RBA cash rate at 3%, which will precipitate the decline and fall…

August 28th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 93 comments | Continued
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Mortgage Bubble and More at Stake Between Australia and China

Two other items of note in yesterday’s housing numbers. The First Home Buyer’s consolidated their position as the most important group propping up Australian house prices. First home buyers increased their percentage of total owner-occupied mortgage demand from 28.6% in April to 29.5% in May. Nearly a third of all demand for new mortgages is coming from new buyers sucked in by the grant. Hmmn.

July 9th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
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Rio Scraps Deal to Sell to Aluminium Corporation of China

So what now? Well, the Chinalco bid came at the bottom of the market. Things are a bit better now. And shareholders seem eager to provide the needed capital rather than bringing on board a suitor whose intentions are at best, opaque.

June 5th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
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The Very Large Bubble of Government Debt

All those bubbles are popping. You do not wipe out twenty five years of credit and leverage excess in a mere eighteen months. We are barely halfway through the liquidation/loss realisation phase. The essential question is which assets are going to perform the best as governments inflate and create a new bubble in government debt?

May 12th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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RBA Hoping it Has Done Enough for Economy

For now, at least for this week, it sure does look like the appetite for risk is back. The U.S. dollar and Japanese Yen are weak, while commodity currencies like the Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian dollars are up. Bond prices are down, stocks are trending up, and even oil is creeping back over $50, looking to make a breakout.

May 6th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 5 comments | Continued
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Were the Government’s Stress Tests a Bogus Exercise in Deception?

Here we go again. Australia’s Federal budget-revealing glorious new deficit, is coming is coming next week. But this week will be all about tomorrow’s Reserve Bank meeting and today’s house price data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

May 4th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 0 comments | Continued
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Australia’s Capital Crisis and its Chinese Future

Meanwhile, what about the present? The IMF issues its World Economic Outlook twice a year. When times are good, the forecasts are too optimistic. When times are bad, the forecasts tend to be too pessimistic. And when times are really bad??

April 17th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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Government Preparing Another Stimulus

So what gives, why is there a huge difference between the seasonally adjusted figures and the original data series? If you look just at the original data series you’ll see that retail turnover has declined 32.1% in original terms from $24.7 billion in December of 2008 to $16.6 billion in February of 2009.That would be headline news!

April 2nd, 2009 | Dan Denning | 6 comments | Continued
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Swan Rejects China Minmetals’ Bid

This is no laughing matter for OZ or its shareholders. The company has $1.3 billion in debt it must refinance by Tuesday. The $2.6 billion bid from Minmetals would have solved that problem. But now the question is whether OZ’s bankers will give it more time, or pull the plug.

March 30th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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Aussie House Prices Face “Perfect Storm”

“The Australian housing market is facing the prospect of a ‘perfect storm’ of financial pressures, including high mortgage debt, overvalued homes and rising unemployment, which could see prices eventually fall by as much as 30 per cent, investors have been warned,” reads a story in today’s Age.

March 18th, 2009 | Dan Denning | 43 comments | Continued
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RBA Rate Cut Does Little to Unlock Credit Market

“Rally to me,” said Glenn Stevens. And investors did. The RBA rate cut WAS a full percentage point as we speculated yesterday. And it certainly did make a splash. Economists loved it. The critics praised it. And investors “huzzahed” the ASX 200 up nearly two percent on a day when the rest of the globe quaked in fear. What has changed? The bank has shifted from being worried about inflation to being worried about recession. A credit crunch?

October 8th, 2008 | Dan Denning | 4 comments | Continued
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